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Avalanche at Coyotes
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
Utah Mammoth
1
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-A·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 7-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Nieto's goal at 14:07 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 46% to 60%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.6 to 1.0; shots on goal were COL 30, ARI 15. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 14 of 15 (.933); Darcy Kuemper stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (2 G, 1 A), 2. Cale Makar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. Kadri2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL31211038730
ARIARI031606115

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Nieto(1)
    M. Calvert (2), P. Bellemare (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:07
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(3)PPG
    G. Landeskog (5), M. Rantanen (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    16:07
  3. COL
    N. Kadri(4)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (6), C. Makar (4)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    19:39

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Donskoi(3)
    A. Burakovsky (3), N. Kadri (5)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    11:37
  2. ARI
    J. Chychrun(1)PPG
    J. Oesterle (3), V. Hinostroza (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    13:31

3rd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(2)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    0:19
  2. COL
    M. Calvert(1)
    N. MacKinnon (7), R. Graves (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    6-1
    2:57
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(3)PPG
    E. Johnson (2), G. Landeskog (6)
    tip-inxG 0.14
    7-1
    16:24

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·ARI 16 PIM

1st

  • 5:12ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 15:40ARIBrad Richardson · Holdingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 16:56COLValeri Nichushkin · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 19:20ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 6:55ARIMichael Grabner · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 13:22COLMatt Nieto · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Oesterle2 min
  • 15:14ARIJason Demers · Slashingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

3rd

  • 4:29COLNikita Zadorov · Hookingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min
  • 10:56COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min
  • 13:43ARILawson Crouse · Boardingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 13:43ARIChristian Fischer · Cross checkingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 13:43COLNathan MacKinnon · Roughingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 13:43ARIChristian Fischer · Roughingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCOL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Nieto, 1st 14:07 — COL 46% → 60%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.25P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.04D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.03D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.00L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 1.0 xG · 19 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsARI
3.67 G
All situations
1 G1.0
2.44 G
Even strength
0 G0.8
1.13 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL91%9%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.56 – 0.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsARI
30
Shots on goal
15
51%
Faceoffs
49%
3/7
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
16
26
Hits
31
13
Blocked shots
17
16
Giveaways
25
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
49S. GirardD000+110.03100—21:33
8C. MakarD112+220.35200—21:02
92G. LandeskogL022+110.292025019:26
27R. GravesD011+220.03430—18:23
6E. JohnsonD011+120.10020—17:39
72J. DonskoiR101+110.18000—17:38
37J. CompherL000010.021204217:35
96M. RantanenR112+140.58000—17:34
29N. MacKinnonC022+220.501023017:19
91N. KadriC213+130.391007517:04
28I. ColeD000+110.03120—17:01
16N. ZadorovD000+110.03402—16:14
13V. NichushkinR000010.27202—15:35
17T. JostC000010.132003314:06
11M. CalvertL112+240.38200—13:08
41P. BellemareL011+100.002305711:52
95A. BurakovskyL011+120.13010—10:36
83M. NietoL101+210.18102—10:06
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)15141.9330.96-0.0460:00

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).