Flyers at Canadiens 1-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Philadelphia Flyers

▸1

Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV NBC, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Montréal Canadiens 1-0. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Voracek's goal at 5:21 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 46% to 58%. Expected goals were close — PHI 1.6, MTL 1.6; shots on goal were PHI 20, MTL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (23 saves, 1.000), 2. Ivan Provorov, 3. Shea Weber.

Three stars

★
C. Hart23 saves, 1.000
★★
I. Provorov
★★★
S. Weber

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
PHI	18	06	06	120
MTL	05	08	010	023

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

J. Voracek(2)
C. Giroux (2), R. Hagg (1)
deflectedxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
1-0
5:21

Penalties

6 PIM·

12 PIM

1st

8:39Jesperi Kotkaniemi · High sticking double minordrawn by Nate Thompson4 min
16:40Jeff Petry · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

2nd

4:41Travis Konecny · Cross checkingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
8:49Matt Niskanen · Hookingdrawn by Alex Belzile2 min
10:42Carter Hart · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
12:20Joel Armia · Interferencedrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

3rd

7:05Max Domi · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
10:28Xavier Ouellet · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: MTL

Biggest swing: Jakub Voracek, 1st 5:21 — PHI 46% → 58%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.6 xG · 37 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 1.6 xG · 36 att MTL

0 G · 1.6 xG · 37 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.61 G
All situations: 0 G1.6; 1.11 G
Even strength: 0 G1.2; 0.40 G
Power play: 0 G0.3; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

48%52%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 1.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

20
Shots on goal: 23; 51%
Faceoffs: 49%; 0/6
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 12; 36
Hits: 23; 24
Blocked shots: 10; 5
Giveaways: 16; 5
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

Philadelphia Flyers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
9I. ProvorovD	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	1	0	—	26:44
15M. NiskanenD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	6	2	—	23:00
14S. CouturierC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.26	5	0	0	38	22:19
6T. SanheimD	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	3	0	—	21:13
28C. GirouxR	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	0	0	0	56	18:52
93J. VoracekR	1	0	1	+1	4	0.41	1	0	0	—	18:47
11T. KonecnyR	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	5	0	2	—	18:37
13K. HayesR	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	2	0	0	29	18:27
61J. BraunD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	2	0	—	14:34
5P. MyersD	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	1	0	0	—	14:17
12M. RafflL	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	5	0	0	—	13:52
18T. PitlickC	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	2	0	0	13:21
21S. LaughtonC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	67	13:15
44N. ThompsonC	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	2	0	56	13:07
8R. HaggD	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	3	3	0	—	12:54
38D. GrantC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	67	11:08
62N. Aube-KubelR	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	1	2	0	—	09:57
25J. van RiemsdykL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	09:36

Philadelphia Flyers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
79C. Hart(W)	23	23	0	1.000	1.64	+1.64	60:00

Series

PHI leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Philadelphia Flyers at Montréal Canadiens

1st period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score