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Penguins at Canadiens
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Petry's goal at 5:33 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were PIT 33, MTL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.8 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Weber (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ben Chiarot (2 A), 3. Paul Byron (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Weber1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Chiarot2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    P. Byron1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT21411108333
MTLMTL11121317431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    S. Weber(1)
    A. Lehkonen (2), P. Byron (2)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:57
  2. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(1)PPG
    E. Malkin (1), S. Crosby (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    8:40
  3. PIT
    J. Zucker(2)PPG
    B. Rust (2), J. Marino (1)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +10 pts
    2-1
    9:39

2nd period

  1. PIT
    T. Blueger(1)
    Z. Aston-Reese (1), B. Tanev (1)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:34
  2. MTL
    J. Drouin(1)
    B. Chiarot (1), S. Weber (1)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    10:13
  3. MTL
    P. Byron(1)
    N. Suzuki (1), S. Weber (2)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.51win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    15:50

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Petry(2)
    B. Chiarot (2), P. Danault (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +26 pts
    3-4
    5:33

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:57PITserved by C. Sheary · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 7:41MTLBen Chiarot · Slashingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 8:40MTLShea Weber · Cross checkingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 19:52PITConor Sheary · Trippingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min

2nd

  • 7:11PITJohn Marino · Holdingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 13:45PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

3rd

  • 3:14PITZachary Aston-Reese · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 16:28MTLPaul Byron · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalPIT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Petry, 3rd 5:33 — MTL 53% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.51S. Weber · Goal · xG 0.22S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.22B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.17J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.13J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.10P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.10V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.10B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.09J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.08P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.08S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.06J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.06J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.06J. Petry · Goal · xG 0.05V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.04J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsMTL
2.43 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.91 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT39%61%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsMTL
33
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
39
17
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000020.17310—24:25
8B. DumoulinD000000.02010—21:08
59J. GuentzelC000-170.63000020:03
87S. CrosbyC011-120.130003519:39
4J. SchultzD000-210.03220—19:26
6J. MarinoD011-120.04032—18:58
71E. MalkinC011-220.051125618:42
28M. PetterssonD000030.07110—17:21
17B. RustR011-210.160206716:41
3J. JohnsonD000-310.01110—16:06
43C. ShearyL000000.00102—14:52
72P. HornqvistR101-140.2510010014:42
16J. ZuckerL101050.49100—13:45
13B. TanevL011+100.00430—13:07
53T. BluegerC101+120.151005312:57
46Z. Aston-ReeseL011010.22212—11:35
12P. MarleauC000-300.001006710:43
37S. LaffertyC000-100.004103307:40
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)31274.8713.19-0.8158:10

Series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).