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Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Schultz's goal at 4:15 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 33, NJD 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nikita Gusev (1 G), 3. Justin Schultz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Gusev1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Schultz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT17113313533
NJDNJD1606110222

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:29
  2. NJD
    N. Gusev(13)PPG
    P. Zacha (24), P. Subban (11)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    12:46

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin (49), B. Rust (29)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:15

3rd period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    7:11
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    10:24
  3. PIT
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.28win prob +13 pts
    4-2
    13:18
  4. PIT
    K. Letang(15)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.41
    5-2
    18:45

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:04PITJack Johnson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:11NJDJohn Hayden · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

2nd

  • 7:17NJDJack Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 12:42NJDserved by J. Bratt · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:36PITSidney Crosby · High stickingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 3:54PITKris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 13:29NJDDamon Severson · Cross checkingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPIT goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Justin Schultz, 2nd 4:15 — PIT 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.19N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.18N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.15K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.15J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.15N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.13T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.10N. Gusev · Goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.06M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.03K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.03P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.01K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNJD
3.24 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT61%39%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNJD
33
Shots on goal
22
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
26
6
Blocked shots
18
3
Giveaways
25
14
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD112+220.43112—24:03
8B. DumoulinD000+110.26100—22:36
4J. SchultzD101+140.28100—20:31
87S. CrosbyC000010.020125518:32
71E. MalkinC213+340.530008018:11
72P. HornqvistR000+240.40000—17:44
16J. ZuckerL000+210.23110—17:23
6J. MarinoD000+110.02200—16:34
3J. JohnsonD000+210.01412—16:09
17B. RustR011+220.10110—16:08
53T. BluegerC000+100.0301010014:13
12P. MarleauC000+130.10300013:56
28M. PetterssonD000+100.00300—13:48
19J. McCannL011010.130006013:19
9E. RodriguesC101+130.300005013:18
13B. TanevL000020.12000—13:07
43C. ShearyL000020.17100—12:35
37S. LaffertyC000010.020005712:14
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)22202.9092.18+0.1859:57

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).