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Devils at Golden Knights
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, MSG+·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the New Jersey Devils 3-0. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Karlsson's goal at 0:37 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 76% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 27, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Robin Lehner stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robin Lehner (27 saves, 1.000), 2. William Karlsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Max Pacioretty (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Lehner27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0901107027
VGKVGK01119212332

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:45

3rd period

  1. VGK
    slapxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    0:37
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    0-3
    8:49

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:07NJDConnor Carrick · Trippingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

2nd

  • 7:56VGKMax Pacioretty · Hookingdrawn by Mirco Mueller2 min
  • 13:48VGKMax Pacioretty · Holdingdrawn by Travis Zajac2 min

3rd

  • 13:54VGKBrandon Pirri · Slashingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalNJD goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: William Karlsson, 3rd 0:37 — VGK 76% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.19M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.19P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.18P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.17C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.15W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.15B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.14C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.11N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.10R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.10C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.08A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.04R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01
VGK3 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsVGK
2.50 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.70 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD43%57%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsVGK
27
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
14
17
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000-200.13100—22:44
76P. SubbanD000-220.02210—19:57
25M. MuellerD000-110.06240—19:48
13N. HischierC000020.281004718:10
32D. MermisD000-110.02210—18:08
86J. HughesC000020.2800010017:42
5C. CarrickD000010.02222—17:22
21K. PalmieriC000-140.34010017:12
37P. ZachaC000-130.092003816:44
19T. ZajacC000-220.400104716:31
40J. JacobsD000010.02220—15:59
44M. WoodL000-230.18100—15:51
97N. GusevL000-120.10000—15:37
63J. BrattL000-110.22110—15:11
90J. BoqvistC000-100.06110014:12
16K. RooneyC000020.12220013:01
14J. AndersonR000000.14210—12:12
41M. McLeodC000000.004003611:52
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)32293.9062.81-0.1959:47

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).