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Jets at Oilers
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 14:44 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals were close — WPG 3.6, EDM 3.4; shots on goal were WPG 41, EDM 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 19 of 22 (.864); Mike Smith stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 2 A), 3. Mike Smith (39 saves, .951).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Smith39 saves, .951

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG08214019241
EDMEDM181717322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(38)PPG
    C. McDavid (57), R. Nugent-Hopkins (33)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    6:27

2nd period

  1. WPG
    L. Shaw(3)
    N. Shore (3), G. Bourque (4)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:23
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(33)
    B. Wheeler (38), A. Bitetto (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    13:57
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(39)PPG
    C. McDavid (58), R. Nugent-Hopkins (34)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    19:47

3rd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(19)
    L. Draisaitl (63), A. Larsson (5)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +38 pts
    2-3
    14:44

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:22WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min

2nd

  • 16:51EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 18:34WPGDmitry Kulikov · Holdingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min

3rd

  • 15:16EDMCaleb Jones · High stickingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWPG goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 3rd 14:44 — EDM 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.19A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.19L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.17Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.16P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.16R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.16T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.14R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.10G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.10J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.10R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.09J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.08P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.05A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.04M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01
EDM3 G · 3.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsEDM
3.62 G
All situations
3 G3.4
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
1.30 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG52%48%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsEDM
41
Shots on goal
22
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
27
17
Blocked shots
18
12
Giveaways
19
7
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. BeaulieuD000040.09230—24:22
55M. ScheifeleC000+141.020005524:20
4N. PionkD000+170.26520—24:15
81K. ConnorL101+170.91000—24:05
26B. WheelerR011+110.12130—21:58
12D. DeMeloD000030.10112—21:41
9A. CoppC000-120.220005619:33
28J. RoslovicC000-110.09430019:32
7D. KulikovD000010.02202—19:05
27N. EhlersL000040.37120—15:12
58J. HarkinsC000-110.09000015:01
82M. AppletonC000030.12010013:34
2A. BitettoD011000.02400—13:17
20C. EakinC000000.001005012:23
3T. PoolmanD000+100.00200—11:52
21N. ShoreC011+110.011102008:34
38L. ShawR101+120.18000—06:06
57G. BourqueL011+100.00210—05:42
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)22193.8643.42+0.4257:10

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).