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Stars at Hurricanes
NHL

Dallas Stars at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
1
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-SW·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 17:20 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 63% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were DAL 16, CAR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (1 G, 2 A), 2. Anton Khudobin (40 saves, .976), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin40 saves, .976
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL371801416
CARCAR011111019141

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(16)
    J. Benn (17)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:51
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(18)PPG
    D. Gurianov (9), J. Klingberg (24)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    17:20
  3. DAL
    J. Dickinson(9)
    R. Hintz (13), J. Oleksiak (7)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    19:09

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(36)
    J. Slavin (28), A. Svechnikov (34)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    2:33
  2. DAL
    D. Gurianov(18)
    R. Hintz (14), J. Dickinson (11)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    13:45

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:56DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 15:42CARVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

2nd

  • 2:53DALMattias Janmark · Roughingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 5:01CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 17:04CARJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

3rd

  • 10:39DALCorey Perry · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 15:47DALEsa Lindell · Trippingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDAL goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 1st 17:20 — DAL 63% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.24S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.19S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.15J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.15J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.15T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.13M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.10B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.06B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCAR
1.94 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL29%71%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCAR
16
Shots on goal
41
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
5
8
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000+220.10010—23:00
23E. LindellD000000.00312—22:26
45R. PolakD000+100.00320—19:27
5A. SekeraD000000.00010—19:19
47A. RadulovR000-110.24110—17:50
3J. KlingbergD011000.00000—17:27
16J. PavelskiC000-120.141106317:06
91T. SeguinC101+130.240024617:01
18J. DickinsonC112+210.312004616:15
15B. ComeauL000000.00120—15:53
12R. FaksaC000+110.141102515:05
14J. BennL011+100.071003314:39
13M. JanmarkC000-100.00002013:27
10C. PerryR000+100.00222—13:24
2J. OleksiakD011+110.00010—13:19
24R. HintzC123+240.300005013:09
11A. CoglianoC000000.00100012:26
34D. GurianovR112+110.34010—11:06
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)41401.9762.99+1.9959:41

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).