Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 6-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 10:46 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 37, SJS 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. David Rittich stopped 34 of 36 (.944); Aaron Dell stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zac Rinaldo (1 G, 1 A), 2. Noah Hanifin (2 A), 3. Milan Lucic (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★Z. Rinaldo1 G, 1 A

- ★★N. Hanifin2 A

- ★★★M. Lucic1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-04:05
2-04:39
3-09:23
3-112:47
2nd period
3-24:51
4-210:46
3rd period
5-21:26
6-214:08
Penalties
1st
- 2:09
Brenden Dillon · Slashingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
2nd
- 1:43
Milan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
- 1:43
Stefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
- 1:43
Stefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
- 3:15
Rasmus Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Evander Kane2 min
- 15:54
Evander Kane · Elbowingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
3rd
- 0:14
Brenden Dillon · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
- 11:12
Timo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
- 12:18
Stefan Noesen · Misconduct10 min
- 12:18
Evander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 2nd 10:46 — 66% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.56 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.4
- 2.43 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.1
- 1.03 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 2.32
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 39%
- Faceoffs
- 61%
- 3/6
- Power play
- 1/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 24
- 18
- Hits
- 30
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 7
- Giveaways
- 5
- 9
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






