Edmonton Oilers at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Chiasson's goal at 9:40 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 26, MTL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 35 of 37 (.946); Carey Price stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 A), 2. Alex Chiasson (1 G), 3. Brendan Gallagher.
Three stars
- ★C. McDavid1 A

- ★★A. Chiasson1 G

- ★★★B. Gallagher

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-112:35
2nd period
0-22:24
1-27:16
3rd period
2-22:16
3-29:40
4-219:25
Penalties
1st
- 2:15
Alex Chiasson · Holding the stickdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
- 8:20
Jeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
3rd
- 1:37
Phillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
- 10:25
Kris Russell · Hookingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex Chiasson, 3rd 9:40 — 48% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.73 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.9
- 1.62 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.5
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 1.89
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 23
- Hits
- 23
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 13
- Giveaways
- 13
- 5
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
EDM leads 2-0
3@
4Final
4@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






