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Edmonton Oilers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV SNW, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Chiasson's goal at 9:40 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 26, MTL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 35 of 37 (.946); Carey Price stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 A), 2. Alex Chiasson (1 G), 3. Brendan Gallagher.

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    A. Chiasson1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM06110310426
MTLMTL114110013237

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    T. Tatar (22), J. Petry (20)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:35

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    2:24
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    7:16

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    2:16
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +32 pts
    3-2
    9:40
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.55win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:25

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:15EDMAlex Chiasson · Holding the stickdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 8:20MTLJeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 1:37MTLPhillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 10:25EDMKris Russell · Hookingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalEDM goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Chiasson, 3rd 9:40 — EDM 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.14P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.14P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.13B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.13B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.12J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.12N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.09R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.07J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06I. Kovalchuk · Missed · xG 0.06N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 1.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMTL
2.73 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM56%44%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMTL
26
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
9
13
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000030.05340—26:14
77O. KlefbomD011+310.04110—26:06
74E. BearD000000.00020—24:58
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112010.430005020:55
6A. LarssonD011+230.04210—20:45
29L. DraisaitlC022040.430004820:08
97C. McDavidC011-110.101006019:07
56K. YamamotoR000-110.03310—16:57
23R. SheahanC101+130.250205316:14
18J. NealL000-110.15400—14:15
15J. ArchibaldR101+220.69310—14:08
44Z. KassianR000-110.01000—14:05
39A. ChiassonR101+120.13202—12:08
4K. RussellD011-100.00102—11:46
16J. KhairaL000+100.00210—11:19
10J. NygardL011+130.37000—11:09
91G. HaasC000+100.001005008:00
82C. JonesD000-200.00020—07:46
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)37352.9461.90-0.1060:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).