Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1 in overtime, Kevin Hayes scoring at 3:53. The Ducks scored first; the Flyers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 3:53 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were PHI 35, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.4 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Hayes (1 G), 2. John Gibson (33 saves, .943), 3. Claude Giroux (1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-10:35
1-19:45
Overtime
2-13:53
Penalties
1st
- 3:45
Josh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
- 4:56
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · Interferencedrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
- 18:06
Mikhail Vorobyev · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
2nd
- 16:19
Ondrej Kase · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
3rd
- 6:06
Mikhail Vorobyev · Trippingdrawn by Korbinian Holzer2 min
- 6:56
Matt Niskanen · Boardingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kevin Hayes, OT 3:53 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.52 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.4
- 3.42 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.6
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.45 – 2.40
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 18
- Hits
- 17
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 11
- Giveaways
- 10
- 7
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
PHI leads 2-0
1@
4Final
2@
1OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






