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Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SNP, TSN2·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Canucks scored first; the Canadiens answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Tatar's goal at 1:51 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were MTL 30, VAN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Carey Price stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carey Price (38 saves, .974), 2. Adam Gaudette (1 G), 3. Shea Weber (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Price38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    VAN
    A. Gaudette1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Weber1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL01011228330
VANVAN114015010139

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Myers (7), J. Leivo (11)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    18:21

2nd period

  1. MTL
    M. Domi (15), J. Armia (8)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:05

3rd period

  1. MTL
    T. Tatar(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.18win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    1:51
  2. MTL
    S. Weber(11)PPG
    J. Armia (9), M. Domi (16)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    3:25

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:22MTLNate Thompson · Boardingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 17:22MTLTomas Tatar · Trippingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min

2nd

  • 8:43MTLNick Cousins · Slashingdrawn by Josh Leivo2 min

3rd

  • 0:22VANJake Virtanen · Slashingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 1:51VANTanner Pearson · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 13:31MTLTomas Tatar · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalMTL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Tomas Tatar, 3rd 1:51 — MTL 52% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.23J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.17E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.09J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.08T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.03J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.00B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.00O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.00J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 2.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsVAN
2.73 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.41 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.62 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL53%47%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsVAN
30
Shots on goal
39
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
8
6
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD101020.32130—29:26
8B. ChiarotD000020.02430—25:53
26J. PetryD000020.08330—21:09
24P. DanaultC011010.062106720:36
17B. KulakD000010.03010—17:49
21N. CousinsC101+120.15102017:32
40J. ArmiaR022+100.27200—17:18
11B. GallagherR011050.31210—17:09
62A. LehkonenL000050.32100—16:27
13M. DomiC022+120.200007315:50
14N. SuzukiC000030.721004514:55
43J. WealC000010.03020014:49
90T. TatarL101010.18004—14:40
44N. ThompsonC000000.020022711:56
20C. FleuryD000+120.01100—11:41
28M. ReillyD000+110.01000—10:59
25R. PoehlingC000000.00110007:44
45R. BarberR000000.00000—07:08
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(W)39381.9742.03+1.0360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).