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Senators at Panthers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Florida Panthers
▸6
FinalTV FS-F, TSN5·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 6-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noel Acciari's goal at 1:18 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were OTT 30, FLA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.1 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noel Acciari (3 G), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (4 A), 3. Aaron Ekblad (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    N. Acciari3 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau4 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT01119010130
FLAFLA11251306631

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    N. Acciari(6)
    K. Yandle (25), J. Huberdeau (27)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:42

2nd period

  1. FLA
    N. Acciari(7)
    J. Huberdeau (28)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:18
  2. OTT
    A. Anisimov(5)
    T. Ennis (9), L. Brown (7)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:05
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(11)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (29)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    5:41
  4. FLA
    N. Acciari(8)
    M. Weegar (9), A. Ekblad (15)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    10:33
  5. FLA
    M. Matheson(2)
    J. Huberdeau (30)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    15:06
  6. FLA
    D. Toninato(3)
    A. Ekblad (16)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    19:28

Penalties

OTT 16 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:14OTTTyler Ennis · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 4:46OTTTyler Ennis · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 12:11OTTThomas Chabot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:35OTTVladislav Namestnikov · High sticking double minordrawn by MacKenzie Weegar4 min
  • 16:35FLAAaron Ekblad · Slashingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 18:14FLANoel Acciari · Roughingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 18:14OTTMark Borowiecki · Roughingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

3rd

  • 1:43FLAVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 2:48OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Anton Stralman2 min
  • 2:48FLAAnton Stralman · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 5:37OTTErik Brannstrom · Trippingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalOTT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Noel Acciari, 2nd 1:18 — FLA 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.20D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.16V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.15N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.12J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.12E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.11M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toninato · Goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.06N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.06N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.05M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsFLA
2.01 G
All situations
6 G2.9
1.81 G
Even strength
5 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT34%66%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsFLA
30
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/5
16
Penalty minutes
8
32
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
22
8
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
81R. HainseyD000-340.10210—24:22
29C. GoloubefD000+120.11300—22:57
72T. ChabotD000-230.15312—22:35
74M. BorowieckiD000-110.01422—20:43
44J. PageauC000-210.023104718:20
28C. BrownR000-220.11000—17:39
7B. TkachukL000-450.4650210016:30
26E. BrannstromD000-220.09002—16:24
51A. AnisimovC101030.290005014:46
13N. PaulL000020.063006714:34
71C. TierneyC000-100.001104513:42
21L. BrownC011+110.111305013:20
10A. DuclairL000-220.21000—13:18
36C. WhiteC000-100.001105013:16
63T. EnnisR011000.02004—12:44
90V. NamestnikovC000-110.24014012:37
64J. BeaudinC000000.005004011:53
39A. EnglundD000-110.03100—11:25
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)31256.8062.94-3.0660:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).