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Blue Jackets at Penguins
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins

Final/OTTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 1-0 in overtime, Bryan Rust scoring at 3:02. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 3:02 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.7 to 1.3; shots on goal were CBJ 17, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 17 of 17 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tristan Jarry (17 saves, 1.000), 2. Bryan Rust (1 G), 3. Joonas Korpisalo (31 saves, .969).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    T. Jarry17 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Korpisalo31 saves, .969

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ06050600017
PITPIT0120601212132

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(10)PPG
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +49 pts
    0-1
    3:02

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·PIT 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:24CBJAndrew Peeke · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 12:52CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · High stickingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

2nd

  • 17:30PITMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min

OT

  • 1:25CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalCBJ goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, OT 3:02 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.25B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.23T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.18B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.16J. Blandisi · On goal · xG 0.13T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.10T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.10A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.09S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.08K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsPIT
1.30 G
All situations
1 G2.7
1.10 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ23%77%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.28 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsPIT
17
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
43
Hits
27
25
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000010.02130—27:20
27R. MurrayD000020.01230—21:08
58D. SavardD000000.04750—20:25
28O. BjorkstrandR000030.32010—20:02
46D. KukanD000000.00020—19:53
44V. GavrikovD000010.02020—19:19
18P. DuboisC000020.144046319:00
38B. JennerC000010.011305018:15
22S. MilanoL000010.07200—18:13
71N. FolignoL000000.006005017:21
13C. AtkinsonR000020.15010—16:08
14G. NyquistR000010.10010—15:57
2A. PeekeD000010.16422—15:36
77J. AndersonR000000.00910—15:31
42A. TexierL000010.241006713:55
10A. WennbergC000000.00000010:09
20R. NashC000000.002106010:08
50E. RobinsonL000010.01400—07:08
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(O)32311.9692.71+1.7162:40

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).