Canadiens at Rangers 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Montréal Canadiens

▸2

New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG, TSN2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Rangers 2-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nate Thompson's goal at 18:53 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were MTL 33, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Carey Price stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Carey Price (29 saves, .967), 2. Nate Thompson (1 G), 3. Alexandar Georgiev (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

★
C. Price29 saves, .967
★★
N. Thompson1 G
★★★
A. Georgiev31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
MTL	111	011	111	233
NYR	08	114	08	130

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

B. Gallagher(13)
P. Danault (16), T. Tatar (16)
tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
1-0
10:37

2nd period

B. Smith(3)
Unassisted
backhandxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
1-1
2:30

3rd period

N. Thompson(2)
N. Cousins (6), N. Suzuki (9)
backhandxG 0.24win prob +48 pts
2-1
18:53

Penalties

4 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

10:45Filip Chytil · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Peca2 min
13:53Ben Chiarot · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
17:56Ben Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYR

Biggest swing: Nate Thompson, 3rd 18:53 — MTL 48% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 3.2 xG · 42 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.8 xG · 42 att NYR

1 G · 3.2 xG · 42 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.82 G
All situations: 1 G3.2; 2.12 G
Even strength: 1 G1.9; 0.20 G
Power play: 0 G1.1; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

37%63%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

33
Shots on goal: 30; 60%
Faceoffs: 40%; 0/1
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 2; 25
Hits: 19; 18
Blocked shots: 11; 10
Giveaways: 12; 8
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Montréal Canadiens skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
6S. WeberD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	1	5	0	—	24:47
26J. PetryD	0	0	0	+1	3	0.25	4	0	0	—	24:26
8B. ChiarotD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	1	4	4	—	23:45
17B. KulakD	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	3	0	—	21:34
24P. DanaultC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.24	1	1	0	77	18:56
62A. LehkonenL	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	0	0	100	18:16
40J. ArmiaR	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	2	0	0	—	17:47
11B. GallagherR	1	0	1	+1	4	0.67	0	1	0	—	16:35
13M. DomiC	0	0	0	0	4	0.29	0	0	0	50	16:35
21N. CousinsC	0	1	1	0	3	0.12	1	1	0	0	15:30
14N. SuzukiC	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	63	14:43
90T. TatarL	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	1	3	0	—	14:19
43J. WealC	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	0	13:47
20C. FleuryD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	—	12:44
44N. ThompsonC	1	0	1	+1	1	0.27	2	0	0	55	12:22
64O. LeskinenD	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	—	10:58
63M. PecaC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	0	09:59
54C. HudonL	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	1	0	0	—	09:18

Montréal Canadiens goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
31C. Price(W)	30	29	1	.967	3.20	+2.20	59:39

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Nov 236@5Final
Dec 62@1this game
Feb 275@2Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Montréal Canadiens at New York Rangers

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

Box score