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Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV ESPN+, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 0:46 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 50% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.4 to 1.3; shots on goal were EDM 28, VAN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.7 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 2. Josh Leivo (1 G), 3. Connor McDavid (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Leivo1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1818112328
VANVAN11311108232

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse (11), C. McDavid (31)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:09
  2. VAN
    Q. Hughes (21), J. Miller (16)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:34

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. Benn (4), B. Horvat (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    12:06
  2. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    13:51

3rd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.26win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    0:46

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:06EDMEthan Bear · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 19:54EDMConnor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min

2nd

  • 13:24VANLoui Eriksson · High stickingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 18:47VANLoui Eriksson · Interferencedrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalEDM goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 3rd 0:46 — EDM 50% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.15T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.13B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07J. Leivo · Goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.00B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.00J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.00Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 1.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVAN
2.43 G
All situations
2 G1.3
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM54%46%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 1.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVAN
28
Shots on goal
32
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
19
23
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD011030.19010—26:35
77O. KlefbomD000-130.05180—26:19
74E. BearD000010.01002—24:10
6A. LarssonD000-120.04150—23:40
97C. McDavidC022+120.071025823:31
29L. DraisaitlC202-151.261106320:53
18J. NealL011+110.07320—20:24
16J. KhairaL000-100.00000—17:04
15J. ArchibaldR101+110.21210—16:12
89S. GagnerC000030.11100014:15
52P. RussellR000-100.00110—12:40
60M. GranlundC000000.01010012:33
39A. ChiassonR022-110.20100—11:25
23R. SheahanC000-100.000104511:10
91G. HaasC000040.090004010:02
83M. BenningD000000.00220—09:44
10J. NygardL000-120.11000—08:17
82C. JonesD000000.00000—07:06
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)32302.9381.31-0.6960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).