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Lightning at Blues
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-1. The Lightning scored first; the Blues answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oskar Sundqvist's goal at 6:16 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were TBL 18, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Oskar Sundqvist (1 G), 2. David Perron (1 G), 3. Colton Parayko (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    D. Perron1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    C. Parayko1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL180406118
STLSTL0711829334

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(3)
    A. Killorn (8), V. Hedman (13)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:36

2nd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(9)
    C. Parayko (9), R. O'Reilly (15)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    17:24

3rd period

  1. STL
    O. Sundqvist(4)
    R. Thomas (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +28 pts
    1-2
    6:16
  2. STL
    J. Schwartz(5)EN
    B. Schenn (8)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    19:55

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:28STLJay Bouwmeester · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min
  • 19:25TBLVictor Hedman · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

2nd

  • 8:22TBLLuke Schenn · Cross checkingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 11:27STLDavid Perron · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 12:43TBLAndrei Vasilevskiy · Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
  • 17:57TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 17:57TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 17:57STLBrayden Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalTBL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Oskar Sundqvist, 3rd 6:16 — STL 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.90M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.39D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.36D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.17D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.15C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.09O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 4.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsSTL
1.81 G
All situations
2 G4.2
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL24%76%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsSTL
18
Shots on goal
34
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
33
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
11
13
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011-120.10122—24:49
27R. McDonaghD000030.05020—23:41
22K. ShattenkirkD000+100.00120—19:51
21B. PointC000-100.092004619:10
91S. StamkosC000-200.070201518:15
98M. SergachevD000-100.03110—18:15
71A. CirelliC101020.334107118:07
81E. CernakD000010.06224—17:35
37Y. GourdeC000-200.00200017:05
13C. PaquetteC000-120.137205316:49
17A. KillornL011030.49000—15:23
14P. MaroonL000-110.17300—14:48
9T. JohnsonC000020.150005013:46
18O. PalatL000-100.00300—13:41
2L. SchennD000-210.02202—13:00
86N. KucherovR000000.00000—11:43
7M. JosephR000-110.13400—10:53
23C. VerhaegheC000+100.00100006:22
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)33312.9393.34+1.3458:42

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).