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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸7
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-D·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 8:28 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were DET 32, CAR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.4 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 2. Dougie Hamilton (3 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    D. Hamilton3 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET11021309332
CARCAR1941926734

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(6)
    J. Slavin (6), D. Hamilton (8)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    7:15
  2. DET
    A. Mantha(8)
    A. Athanasiou (4), J. Hicketts (1)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:52

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(4)
    W. Foegele (4), J. Slavin (7)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    0:27
  2. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(2)PPG
    S. Aho (4), J. Gardiner (3)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    1:48
  3. DET
    A. Mantha(9)PPG
    A. Athanasiou (5), V. Filppula (4)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    8:02
  4. CAR
    M. Necas(3)
    R. Dzingel (6), T. van Riemsdyk (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    8:28
  5. CAR
    S. Aho(5)
    D. Hamilton (9), A. Svechnikov (8)
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +8 pts
    2-5
    11:03
  6. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(6)
    D. Larkin (8), P. Nemeth (3)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    3-5
    16:12

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. McGinn(1)SHG
    D. Hamilton (10)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +8 pts
    3-6
    1:49
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(3)EN
    J. Slavin (8)
    wristxG 0.81
    3-7
    16:38

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:08CARErik Haula · High stickingdrawn by Taro Hirose2 min
  • 5:43DETPatrik Nemeth · Interferencedrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 5:43CARNino Niederreiter · Embellishment2 min
  • 17:15DETFilip Hronek · Trippingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

2nd

  • 0:27DETserved by B. Perlini · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 7:57CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Brendan Perlini2 min
  • 19:24DETTyler Bertuzzi · Trippingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

3rd

  • 0:56CARJordan Staal · High stickingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min
  • 6:43CARTrevor van Riemsdyk · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 13:38CARDougie Hamilton · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 2nd 8:28 — CAR 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.81S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.30N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.27T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.23W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.23S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.21R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.19L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.18R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.18M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.17B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.16D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.15D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.12R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.11E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.07B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR7 G · 4.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
3.13 G
All situations
6 G4.9
2.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.81 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET37%63%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 3.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
32
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/5
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
17
Hits
14
9
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000000.02142—23:48
71D. LarkinC011-130.320003821:12
74M. BoweyD000-120.26000—20:27
83T. DaleyD000-120.07000—19:41
25M. GreenD000-320.02000—19:10
22P. NemethD011+110.09112—18:03
39A. ManthaR202-350.5201010017:39
72A. AthanasiouC022-420.1801010017:08
59T. BertuzziL101020.4300210016:55
2J. HickettsD011-310.01220—16:27
51V. FilppulaC011-210.251005815:36
67T. HiroseL000-100.27100—14:23
29B. PerliniL000-230.30100—13:46
43D. HelmC000+120.01100013:41
81F. NielsenC000-130.230002913:22
8J. AbdelkaderL000010.015006012:00
61J. de la RoseL000000.002006011:48
73A. ErneL000020.08200—09:00
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)21165.7622.63-2.3730:43
45J. Bernier12111.9171.44+0.4427:50

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).