Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in overtime, Brandon Tanev scoring at 3:57. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Tanev's goal at 3:57 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 28, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Matt Murray stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Brandon Tanev (1 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G).
Three stars
- ★B. Tanev1 G

- ★★S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

- ★★★N. MacKinnon1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-03:16
1-117:22
2nd period
1-215:30
3rd period
2-22:56
Overtime
2-33:57
Penalties
1st
- 6:09
Tyson Jost · Trippingdrawn by Joseph Blandisi2 min
- 8:51
Ian Cole · Holding the stickdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
- 15:45
Ian Cole · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
- 16:55
Dominik Kahun · Slashingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
2nd
- 11:36
Sam Lafferty · Trippingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
OT
- 2:38
Brian Dumoulin · Slashingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brandon Tanev, OT 3:57 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.22 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.6
- 2.02 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.63
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 42
- Hits
- 39
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 2
- Giveaways
- 5
- 6
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 2-0
2@
3OTthis game
4@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






