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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
2
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Turris's goal at 2:51 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 77% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were SJS 35, NSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (2 G), 2. Pekka Rinne (33 saves, .943), 3. Kyle Turris (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    K. Turris1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS07118110235
NSHNSH191739525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(1)
    C. Sissons (1), R. Ellis (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:16

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(2)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    10:25
  2. SJS
    E. Kane(1)PPG
    L. Couture (2), B. Burns (2)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    15:12

3rd period

  1. NSH
    K. Turris(1)
    R. Grimaldi (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    2:51
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(3)
    M. Duchene (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    7:24
  3. SJS
    B. Burns(1)
    L. Bergmann (1), D. Gambrell (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    15:37
  4. NSH
    D. Fabbro(1)EN
    R. Johansen (3)
    wristxG 0.47
    2-5
    18:19

Penalties

SJS 15 PIM·NSH 11 PIM

1st

  • 14:00NSHAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Trevor Carrick5 min
  • 14:00SJSTrevor Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 16:02SJSEvander Kane · Interferencedrawn by Nick Bonino2 min

2nd

  • 2:57NSHMikael Granlund · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 5:12SJSJoe Thornton · Cross checkingdrawn by Yannick Weber2 min
  • 9:40SJSBrenden Dillon · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 15:06NSHMatt Duchene · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 19:00SJSBrent Burns · Interferencedrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 19:52NSHRyan Johansen · Hookingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min

3rd

  • 12:09SJSEvander Kane · Hookingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Turris, 3rd 2:51 — NSH 77% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Fabbro · Goal · xG 0.47A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.45C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.17R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.17M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.15R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.11A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.10R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.10R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.06K. Turris · Goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 3.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
2.22 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS52%48%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
35
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
11
9
Hits
12
9
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-250.22000—27:30
88B. BurnsD112-240.36102—24:59
4B. DillonD000020.03022—22:05
48T. HertlC000-120.230004020:07
9E. KaneL101-150.38314—19:48
23B. GoodrowC000010.020205018:07
38M. FerraroD000000.02010—17:44
44M. VlasicD000-210.02210—17:38
28T. MeierR000-350.190102517:21
62K. LabancR000-220.14000—16:26
39L. CoutureC011-310.231102914:39
68M. KarlssonC000000.00100014:23
7D. GambrellC011000.011006913:20
19J. ThorntonC000010.040026712:49
52L. RadilC000020.18000010:39
22J. BrodzinskiC000010.05000009:00
45L. BergmannC011020.06000008:38
47T. CarrickD000010.02005—07:41
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)24204.8332.10-1.9058:21

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).