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Hurricanes at Capitals
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Washington Capitals
3
Final/2OTTV NBCSN, FS-CR·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in double overtime, Brock McGinn scoring at 11:05. The Hurricanes came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock McGinn's goal at 11:05 of the second overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were CAR 42, WSH 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Braden Holtby stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock McGinn (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Staal (1 G), 3. Andre Burakovsky (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. McGinn1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Burakovsky1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
CARCAR010291501117442
WSHWSH210190120402337

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Burakovsky(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:13
  2. WSH
    T. Wilson(3)
    A. Ovechkin (5), D. Orlov (4)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:23

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(2)SHG
    B. Pesce (2), J. Slavin (7)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    9:51
  2. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(1)
    C. Hagelin (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    13:22
  3. CAR
    T. Teravainen(3)
    B. Pesce (3), B. McGinn (3)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    16:37

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(3)
    J. Slavin (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    2:56

2OT overtime

  1. CAR
    B. McGinn(2)
    J. Williams (3), J. Slavin (9)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +52 pts
    4-3
    11:05

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·WSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:39CARGreg McKegg · Hookingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 16:58WSHNicklas Backstrom · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

2nd

  • 8:35CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

2OT

  • 2:02CARSaku Maenalanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCAR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Brock McGinn, 2OT 11:05 — CAR 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.30T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.20T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.20L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.18A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.14N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.11J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.10B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.06E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.05M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.05D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.04N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01B. Orpik · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Orpik · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.01B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.00N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.00N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.00B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.00C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 3.3 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWSH
2.54 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.33 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 123 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR37%63%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWSH
42
Shots on goal
37
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
60
Hits
43
13
Blocked shots
29
8
Giveaways
12
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD033+210.05010—38:27
22B. PesceD022+120.06110—35:22
27J. FaulkD000030.07420—35:00
20S. AhoC101+350.331101332:40
21N. NiederreiterR000+140.4141010031:22
86T. TeravainenC101+240.490105030:51
44C. de HaanD000+130.06310—30:45
14J. WilliamsR011+150.084004329:40
11J. StaalC101030.158104928:12
23B. McGinnL112+120.203102525:47
19D. HamiltonD000-130.10810—23:24
13W. FoegeleL000-220.16510—23:09
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.00300—17:53
71L. WallmarkC000-210.034004016:31
42G. McKeggC000010.173123315:03
8S. MaenalanenR000000.00402—14:21
48J. MartinookL000-210.1320210012:51
36P. BrownC000010.01300008:07
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)37343.9193.33+0.3391:05

Series

CAR leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).