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Hurricanes at Capitals
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
Washington Capitals
▸4
FinalTV USA, FS-CR·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 7:26 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 6% to 19%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 29, WSH 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.0 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Nicklas Backstrom (2 G), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (2 G), 3. John Carlson (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01001128229
WSHWSH390415418

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(1)
    J. Carlson (1), B. Orpik (1)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:58
  2. WSH
    N. Backstrom(2)PPG
    E. Kuznetsov (1), J. Carlson (2)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    13:10
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(1)PPG
    T. Wilson (1), J. Carlson (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    18:05

3rd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(1)
    L. Wallmark (1), D. Hamilton (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    5:07
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(2)
    L. Wallmark (2), J. Faulk (1)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    7:26
  3. WSH
    L. Eller(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.39win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:23

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:32CARJustin Faulk · High stickingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 16:31CARMicheal Ferland · Interferencedrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min

2nd

  • 1:46CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 4:07WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:05CARJustin Williams · Holding the stickdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min

3rd

  • 11:14WSHJakub Vrana · Hookingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 16:29WSHT.J. Oshie · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCAR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 3rd 7:26 — CAR 6% → 19%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.59C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.44J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.42L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.39A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.19N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.13B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.13N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.13T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.10T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.09L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 3.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWSH
2.12 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G0.8
0.30 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR52%48%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWSH
29
Shots on goal
18
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
37
Hits
35
9
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20S. AhoC000-120.153006226:10
27J. FaulkD011030.08612—26:10
74J. SlavinD000-120.25030—25:00
22B. PesceD000+120.13120—22:48
21N. NiederreiterR000-110.13000—21:58
14J. WilliamsR000-120.16202—20:58
19D. HamiltonD011-140.08100—19:59
86T. TeravainenC000-210.05100019:12
11J. StaalC000-200.142105515:16
37A. SvechnikovR202+230.30102—13:37
57T. van RiemsdykD000+110.06310—13:30
23B. McGinnL000020.11100—12:47
79M. FerlandL000-120.19602—12:39
48J. MartinookL000020.176005611:57
13W. FoegeleL000010.08210—10:03
71L. WallmarkC022+200.000008008:26
42G. McKeggC000+200.0010010007:50
4H. FleuryD000+110.01100—07:19
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)17143.8241.98-1.0258:09

Series

CAR leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).