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Capitals at Hurricanes
NHL

Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-CR·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Capitals scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 3:51 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were WSH 25, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 2.0 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Justin Williams (1 G), 3. Brett Pesce (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Williams1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Pesce1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2707011225
CARCAR11519312536

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    B. Connolly(2)
    L. Eller (2), A. Burakovsky (1)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:06
  2. CAR
    W. Foegele(4)
    D. Hamilton (3), J. Slavin (6)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    10:35
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(4)
    D. Orlov (3), M. Niskanen (2)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    15:12

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(2)
    S. Aho (3)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    1:56

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(2)
    B. McGinn (2), J. Faulk (3)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +26 pts
    2-3
    3:51
  2. CAR
    J. Williams(1)
    B. Pesce (1), J. Staal (3)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    11:58
  3. CAR
    D. Hamilton(3)EN
    J. Martinook (2)
    snapxG 0.52win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:54

Penalties

WSH 20 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:30WSHNic Dowd · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Brown2 min

2nd

  • 2:36WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min
  • 7:58CARJustin Williams · High stickingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 15:24CARNino Niederreiter · High stickingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 19:29CARJordan Martinook · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 19:29WSHDmitry Orlov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

3rd

  • 6:15WSHChandler Stephenson · Trippingdrawn by Saku Maenalanen2 min
  • 18:52WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Saku Maenalanen2 min
  • 18:52WSHAlex Ovechkin · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalWSH goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 3rd 3:51 — CAR 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.52J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.15D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.12B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.11W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.10T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.10J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.07G. McKegg · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Williams · Goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCAR
2.12 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.42 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH53%47%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
36
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/4
20
Penalty minutes
6
45
Hits
38
16
Blocked shots
6
12
Giveaways
7
11
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-140.21210—25:18
2M. NiskanenD011020.07220—23:16
8A. OvechkinL101-230.335012—21:27
43T. WilsonR000-100.11922—19:42
9D. OrlovD011010.14602—18:56
19N. BackstromC000-310.081005018:31
92E. KuznetsovC000-140.260103517:54
20L. EllerC011010.001002217:32
3N. JensenD000-200.01120—16:48
44B. OrpikD000-220.03220—16:10
62C. HagelinL000-130.04600—15:04
34J. SiegenthalerD000000.00130—13:57
13J. VranaL000-110.19210—13:28
10B. ConnollyR101-110.63000—11:53
18C. StephensonC000010.01102011:27
65A. BurakovskyL011010.0311010011:10
26N. DowdC000-100.000124210:28
25D. Smith-PellyR000000.0050010009:43
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)35314.8861.96-2.0458:08

Series

CAR leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).