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Capitals at Hurricanes
NHL

Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
0
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV CNBC, FS-CR·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Washington Capitals 5-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Warren Foegele's goal at 6:09 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were WSH 18, CAR 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 40 of 45 (.889), 1.4 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Warren Foegele (2 G, 1 A), 2. Dougie Hamilton (2 G), 3. Jordan Staal (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    W. Foegele2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    D. Hamilton2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0100107018
CARCAR115218212545

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    W. Foegele(1)
    J. Faulk (2), B. McGinn (1)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:43

2nd period

  1. CAR
    W. Foegele(2)
    S. Aho (1), T. Teravainen (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:09
  2. CAR
    D. Hamilton(1)PPG
    J. Staal (1), J. Slavin (3)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    11:40

3rd period

  1. CAR
    D. Hamilton(2)PPG
    J. Slavin (4), W. Foegele (2)
    slapxG 0.05
    0-4
    9:47
  2. CAR
    B. McGinn(1)
    J. Staal (2), J. Martinook (1)
    snapxG 0.13
    0-5
    15:35

Penalties

WSH 17 PIM·CAR 15 PIM

1st

  • 10:59WSHAlex Ovechkin · Fightingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov5 min
  • 10:59CARAndrei Svechnikov · Fightingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin5 min
  • 11:46CARJordan Staal · Interferencedrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 17:03WSHDmitry Orlov · Interferencedrawn by Justin Williams2 min

2nd

  • 9:48WSHNicklas Backstrom · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 15:38WSHJohn Carlson · Roughingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 15:38CARWarren Foegele · Slashingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

3rd

  • 1:22CARNino Niederreiter · Interferencedrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 5:31CARHaydn Fleury · High stickingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 8:19WSHLars Eller · Roughingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 13:01WSHBrett Connolly · Roughingdrawn by Greg McKegg2 min
  • 15:46WSHJakub Vrana · High stickingdrawn by Greg McKegg2 min
  • 19:22CARDougie Hamilton · High stickingdrawn by Brett Connolly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalWSH goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Warren Foegele, 2nd 6:09 — CAR 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.23S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.22T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.19W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.17B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.13J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.10W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.09W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.00T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 3.6 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCAR
2.10 G
All situations
5 G3.6
0.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
1.20 G
Power play
2 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH25%75%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 3.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCAR
18
Shots on goal
45
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
2/5
17
Penalty minutes
15
34
Hits
52
8
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
8
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-120.30212—25:31
2M. NiskanenD000-110.02420—22:24
9D. OrlovD000-220.01212—21:18
3N. JensenD000000.00010—19:41
44B. OrpikD000-110.00110—19:02
43T. WilsonR000000.19600—18:59
77T. OshieR000-110.143003317:55
19N. BackstromC000-130.264026417:41
92E. KuznetsovC000020.431005017:23
20L. EllerC000-100.002025316:49
8A. OvechkinL000-150.66205—16:42
62C. HagelinL000000.0410010015:36
13J. VranaL000000.00012—14:05
26N. DowdC000-100.001005012:29
10B. ConnollyR000-100.00302—10:00
29C. DjoosD000-100.01010—08:40
18C. StephensonC000-100.00200008:09
65A. BurakovskyL000-210.01000—06:16
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)45405.8893.56-1.4460:00

Series

CAR leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).