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Flames at Ducks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
FinalTV FS-W, SNW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Getzlaf's goal at 4:57 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were CGY 26, ANA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. David Rittich stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.5 goals below expected; Ryan Miller stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Miller (25 saves, .962), 2. Sam Steel (1 G), 3. Rickard Rakell (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Miller25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    ANA
    S. Steel1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY11101005126
ANAANA21111209332

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    S. Steel(5)
    R. Rakell (24), J. Silfverberg (18)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:01
  2. ANA
    M. Jones(2)
    C. Rowney (12), D. Grant (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:58
  3. CGY
    D. Ryan(13)
    J. Gaudreau (62), A. Czarnik (12)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    8:28

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(14)
    C. Rowney (13)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    1-3
    4:57

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·ANA 10 PIM

1st

  • 16:07CGYMichael Stone · Interferencedrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min
  • 17:28ANANick Ritchie · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

2nd

  • 2:53ANAJacob Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 6:12ANADevin Shore · Delaying game2 min
  • 15:45ANACam Fowler · Delaying game2 min
  • 20:00ANAJacob Larsson · Boardingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

3rd

  • 5:31CGYMichael Frolik · Hookingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Getzlaf, 2nd 4:57 — ANA 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.24C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.18R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.15R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.14D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.11S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.11M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.10J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.10S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.09M. Jones · Goal · xG 0.09S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.07S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.07J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.06C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.04C. Rowney · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.00K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
2.31 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY47%53%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
26
Shots on goal
32
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/5
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3O. FantenbergD000040.20020—23:32
4R. AnderssonD000-110.08020—23:15
11M. BacklundC000-120.550003020:40
19M. TkachukL000-140.520005019:34
13J. GaudreauL011-100.00000—19:01
10D. RyanC101+110.141005018:41
26M. StoneD000+120.08312—18:28
6D. ProutD000-200.00210—17:40
8J. VälimäkiD000+140.09110—17:39
67M. FrolikR000-120.2200210015:38
27A. CzarnikC011000.000105015:33
58O. KylingtonD000-210.04000—15:05
88A. MangiapaneL000-120.171105014:50
18J. NealL000-110.10000—13:20
21G. HathawayR000000.00100—13:08
89A. QuineC000010.012103811:08
77M. JankowskiL000-110.101002010:46
29D. DubeC000-100.00000009:43
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)32293.9062.47-0.5358:19

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).