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Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV PRIME, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 1:21 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.6, EDM 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 38, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. John Gibson stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (3 G), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (2 A), 3. Sam Gagner (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Rakell3 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    S. Gagner1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA111311116538
EDMEDM0809114131

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:17

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:21
  2. ANA
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    8:48
  3. ANA
    snapxG 0.01win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    15:13

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    5-0
    1:29
  2. EDM
    M. Lucic (14), O. Klefbom (22)
    slapxG 0.07
    5-1
    13:09

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

2nd

  • 9:47ANAHampus Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 17:42EDMJoseph Gambardella · Hookingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min

3rd

  • 16:43ANACorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 16:43EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 2nd 1:21 — ANA 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.33S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.31S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.05O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.03M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.00L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM1 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
2.65 G
All situations
1 G2.3
2.65 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA53%47%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
38
Shots on goal
31
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
33
16
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45A. WelinskiD000+220.10420—27:26
4C. FowlerD000+110.03320—26:00
5K. HolzerD011+310.01410—22:31
47H. LindholmD022+220.02002—21:43
32J. LarssonD000020.04110—20:42
34S. SteelC011+220.220104618:16
67R. RakellR303+260.36000—17:12
14A. HenriqueC011+100.001203915:52
33J. SilfverbergR022+220.11100—15:06
24C. RowneyC000030.365205014:57
64K. SherwoodL000+140.35010—14:33
38D. GrantC000000.002103314:30
29D. ShoreC101+140.11000014:26
49M. JonesL000020.13100—14:03
10C. PerryR101+120.25012—13:19
58C. De LeoL000+140.45100—12:32
56S. CarrickC011+110.023205012:03
61T. TerryR000000.00000—00:00
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)31301.9682.35+1.3560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).