Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Boyd's goal at 10:47 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 36, WSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.5 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Braden Holtby (35 saves, .972), 2. Travis Boyd (1 G), 3. Jakub Vrana (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-13:52
2nd period
0-210:47
1-217:10
3rd period
1-38:07
Penalties
1st
- 7:18
James van Riemsdyk · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 14:22
Justin Bailey · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
2nd
- 0:29
Alex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
- 13:22
Tom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
- 16:51
T.J. Oshie · Holdingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
3rd
- 3:25
Brooks Orpik · Roughingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Travis Boyd, 2nd 10:47 — 71% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.31 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.5
- 2.30 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.0
- 0.91 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.24 – 2.45
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 36
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 63%
- Faceoffs
- 37%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 16
- Hits
- 22
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 3
- Giveaways
- 14
- 6
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
