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Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBC·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Boyd's goal at 10:47 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 36, WSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.5 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Braden Holtby (35 saves, .972), 2. Travis Boyd (1 G), 3. Jakub Vrana (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    B. Holtby35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Boyd1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Vrana1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI01112005136
WSHWSH11117112330

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:52

2nd period

  1. WSH
    M. Niskanen (16), N. Dowd (14)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    10:47
  2. PHI
    J. Voracek(20)PPG
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    17:10

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    8:07

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:18PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 14:22PHIJustin Bailey · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

2nd

  • 0:29WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 13:22WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 16:51WSHT.J. Oshie · Holdingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

3rd

  • 3:25WSHBrooks Orpik · Roughingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Boyd, 2nd 10:47 — WSH 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.21J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.16T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.09T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.08T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.07C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
3.31 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.30 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI63%37%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.24 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
36
Shots on goal
30
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
22
8
Blocked shots
18
3
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-100.07310—25:37
14S. CouturierC000-240.490006023:27
6T. SanheimD000-110.03030—23:16
28C. GirouxR000-220.090006322:22
25J. van RiemsdykL000-130.20102—20:29
93J. VoracekR101060.6700010019:24
53S. GostisbehereD000010.43000—18:35
3R. GudasD000-140.11200—16:09
19N. PatrickC000010.100006715:46
61P. MyersD000-120.09300—15:10
23O. LindblomL000-110.11000—14:52
21S. LaughtonC000000.020006414:46
8R. HaggD000-200.00310—14:44
11T. KonecnyR000-140.31000—14:32
38R. HartmanR000020.22200—12:42
12M. RafflL000030.33210—09:26
10C. KnightC000-110.000206008:34
27J. BaileyR000-110.00002—08:03
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(L)30273.9002.46-0.5458:06

Season series

WSH leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).