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Flyers at Capitals
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
3
Washington Capitals
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 9:19 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were PHI 40, WSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Mike McKenna stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.5 goals below expected; Pheonix Copley stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Vrana (2 G, 1 A), 2. T.J. Oshie (2 G), 3. John Carlson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Vrana2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI111012217340
WSHWSH1431318525

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(13)
    J. Vrana (10), L. Eller (13)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:21
  2. PHI
    J. Voracek(11)
    O. Lindblom (8)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:28

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(12)
    L. Eller (14), J. Carlson (34)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    9:19
  2. WSH
    J. Vrana(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    11:22
  3. WSH
    J. Vrana(14)PPG
    T. Boyd (8), J. Carlson (35)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    15:55

3rd period

  1. PHI
    W. Simmonds(13)
    J. Voracek (23), S. Couturier (15)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    16:33
  2. PHI
    C. Giroux(14)
    S. Couturier (16), J. Voracek (24)
    slapxG 0.15
    3-4
    19:53
  3. WSH
    T. Oshie(13)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51
    3-5
    19:57

Penalties

PHI 23 PIM·WSH 15 PIM

1st

  • 5:46WSHAndre Burakovsky · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 5:24PHIRobert Hagg · Slashingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 14:12PHIIvan Provorov · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 19:06WSHBrooks Orpik · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

3rd

  • 2:04WSHDevante Smith-Pelly · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 2:04WSHDevante Smith-Pelly · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 2:04PHIRadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Devante Smith-Pelly5 min
  • 9:06WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 13:31PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 17:56PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 17:56PHIWayne Simmonds · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:28WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 2nd 9:19 — WSH 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.51T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.48N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.21J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.19E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.15L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.11T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.11B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.09T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.09J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.08L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.08T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.06T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 3.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
2.33 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.13 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
1.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI47%53%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
40
Shots on goal
25
70%
Faceoffs
30%
0/5
Power play
1/4
23
Penalty minutes
15
23
Hits
15
14
Blocked shots
19
8
Giveaways
14
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-220.03022—26:02
14S. CouturierC022+130.301106823:53
28C. GirouxR101060.280007123:45
53S. GostisbehereD000+130.18132—21:37
6T. SanheimD000-200.01010—19:58
25J. van RiemsdykL000+120.0500010018:41
11T. KonecnyR000-140.26302—16:49
17W. SimmondsR101050.452010—16:25
93J. VoracekR123+140.30100—16:23
3R. GudasD000+130.02415—16:13
26C. FolinD000-120.0622010014:28
8R. HaggD000-100.00422—14:09
21S. LaughtonC000-110.063108013:57
22D. WeiseR000000.00000—12:16
19N. PatrickC000-120.130006211:59
12M. RafflL000-110.06100—11:39
44P. VaroneC000010.001106308:40
23O. LindblomL011010.10000—08:31
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
56M. McKenna(L)24204.8332.46-1.5456:52

Season series

WSH leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).