Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Connolly's goal at 14:16 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 35, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 15 of 16 (.938). Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 1 A), 3. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A

- ★★N. Backstrom1 G, 1 A

- ★★★C. Giroux1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-05:55
2-014:16
2nd period
3-02:32
4-04:18
5-05:37
5-119:48
3rd period
5-20:10
5-37:48
Penalties
1st
- 7:43
T.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by Philippe Myers2 min
2nd
- 1:49
Sean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min
- 10:30
Robert Hagg · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
3rd
- 2:29
Scott Laughton · Interferencedrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
- 10:23
Tom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Andrew MacDonald2 min
- 10:23
Andrew MacDonald · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brett Connolly, 1st 14:16 — 60% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.15 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.2
- 1.84 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 1.01 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 2.15
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 30%
- Faceoffs
- 70%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 17
- Hits
- 25
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 9
- Giveaways
- 9
- 8
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
