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Capitals at Flyers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSWA·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Connolly's goal at 8:43 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 65% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were WSH 32, PHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Carter Hart stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brett Connolly (2 G, 1 A), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 A), 3. Lars Eller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    B. Connolly2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Gostisbehere1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    L. Eller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH21121417532
PHIPHI0529010224

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    B. Connolly(18)
    M. Kempny (18), J. Carlson (51)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:53
  2. WSH
    L. Eller(11)
    B. Connolly (20), C. Hagelin (8)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:30

2nd period

  1. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(21)
    S. Gostisbehere (26)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:03
  2. WSH
    B. Connolly(19)
    C. Hagelin (9)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:43
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson(20)
    E. Kuznetsov (44), D. Orlov (22)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    9:48
  4. PHI
    S. Laughton(12)
    R. Hartman (12), R. Hagg (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    12:22

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(18)EN
    A. Ovechkin (33), M. Kempny (19)
    snapxG 0.76win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:34

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:00WSHBrooks Orpik · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 5:06PHIRadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 19:00PHIMichael Raffl · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

3rd

  • 5:57PHIMichael Raffl · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 6:33WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 9:06WSHNicklas Backstrom · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 11:41WSHNick Jensen · Interferencedrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Brett Connolly, 2nd 8:43 — WSH 65% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.28O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.23M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.16J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.12C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.12S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.05I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 1.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
3.64 G
All situations
2 G1.8
2.64 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH68%32%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
32
Shots on goal
24
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
25
21
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+310.02150—25:04
2M. NiskanenD000+250.07330—22:02
9D. OrlovD011+210.10420—19:20
20L. EllerC101+320.472104219:05
6M. KempnyD022+110.07110—18:21
62C. HagelinL022+300.00100—17:57
19N. BackstromC000010.031025317:01
77T. OshieR000-120.17030—16:27
8A. OvechkinL011+250.39300—16:25
3N. JensenD000-200.00132—15:55
44B. OrpikD000-100.00212—15:30
92E. KuznetsovC112+221.020026314:55
10B. ConnollyR213+340.51000—14:02
43T. WilsonR101+240.17100—14:00
13J. VranaL000-110.17100—12:42
18C. StephensonC000-200.001105712:40
65A. BurakovskyL000010.10000—10:17
72T. BoydC000-120.27010010:17
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)24222.9171.79-0.2160:00

Season series

WSH leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).