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New Jersey Devils at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Minnesota Wild 5-4 in overtime, Nico Hischier scoring at 3:19. The Devils came back from three goals down. The Wild led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nico Hischier's goal at 3:19 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were NJD 28, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 15 of 15 (1.000), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Marcus Johansson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brad Hunt (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    M. Johansson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    B. Hunt1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD072132711528
MINMIN212290803432

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    B. Hunt(4)PPG
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    6:07
  2. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:55

2nd period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    0:26
  2. MIN
    B. Hunt (6), K. Rau (1)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:33
  3. MIN
    slapxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    7:19
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    18:10

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    3-4
    8:16
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.02win prob +42 pts
    4-4
    17:15

Overtime

  1. NJD
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    3:19

Penalties

NJD 4 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:38NJDDamon Severson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

2nd

  • 3:33MINZach Parise · Holdingdrawn by Drew Stafford2 min
  • 14:07MINCharlie Coyle · Holdingdrawn by Mirco Mueller2 min
  • 20:00NJDDamon Severson · Roughingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

3rd

  • 2:33MINNick Seeler · High stickingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 8:09MINJared Spurgeon · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNJD goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Nico Hischier, OT 3:19 — NJD 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.19J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.17M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.15B. Hunt · Goal · xG 0.13M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.12C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.10J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.08C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.04J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.04M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.00Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsMIN
1.65 G
All situations
4 G2.3
1.24 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD36%64%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
32
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000000.04224—26:20
90M. JohanssonL112+210.05200—23:59
19T. ZajacC000010.100205721:42
63J. BrattL022+230.11200—21:09
25M. MuellerD000-200.00110—20:47
13N. HischierC112+340.271206520:32
21K. PalmieriC112+140.30000020:00
8W. ButcherD101+220.10020—19:38
12B. LovejoyD101+130.03010—18:57
6A. GreeneD000000.00020—18:48
44M. WoodL000030.10200—17:58
2E. GrybaD000010.02100—13:38
49J. AndersonR000-210.11110—13:20
37P. ZachaC011-120.181005012:44
17K. AgostinoL011030.15200—12:07
18D. StaffordR000-100.00010—11:41
58K. RooneyC000-100.010005009:42
39K. GabrielR000-100.00100—04:24
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(W)151501.0001.17+1.1736:00
1K. Kinkaid17134.7651.14-2.8627:19

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).