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Maple Leafs at Rangers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers

FinalTV NBCSN, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jimmy Vesey's goal at 14:05 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 6.4 to 3.6; shots on goal were TOR 56, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Garret Sparks stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Alexandar Georgiev stopped 55 of 56 (.982), 5.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexandar Georgiev (55 saves, .982), 2. Mats Zuccarello (2 A), 3. Adam McQuaid (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Georgiev55 saves, .982
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zuccarello2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. McQuaid1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR122017017156
NYRNYR2140927430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:28
  2. TOR
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:35
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:05

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    11:59
  2. NYR
    K. Hayes(13)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.78
    1-4
    19:40

Penalties

TOR 7 PIM·NYR 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:26NYRBrendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 11:58NYRChris Kreider · Interferencedrawn by Jake Muzzin2 min
  • 18:09TORJake Gardiner · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 5:01NYRTony DeAngelo · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 7:45NYRRyan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 13:53TORZach Hyman · Fightingdrawn by Neal Pionk5 min
  • 13:53NYRNeal Pionk · Fightingdrawn by Zach Hyman5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTOR goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Jimmy Vesey, 1st 14:05 — NYR 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.78B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.47M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.24V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.22J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.18M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.14K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.13B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.10K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01A. McQuaid · Goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 3.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsNYR
6.41 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
4.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR88%12%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.67 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsNYR
56
Shots on goal
30
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/4
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
13
14
Hits
29
8
Blocked shots
18
15
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000-260.13010—24:01
51J. GardinerD000-200.00012—23:05
34A. MatthewsC000-151.180107122:00
16M. MarnerR000-340.27000—20:10
91J. TavaresC000-381.040007519:39
43N. KadriC000-1121.921008319:06
8J. MuzzinD000-110.06220—18:08
2R. HainseyD000-110.03000—17:23
23T. DermottD000030.29100—16:55
24K. KapanenR101020.0930010016:21
12P. MarleauC000050.49110016:19
22N. ZaitsevD000020.02110—15:23
29W. NylanderR000030.500005715:19
11Z. HymanL000-230.322052513:45
18A. JohnssonL000000.00100—13:40
28C. BrownR000000.000005011:09
33F. GauthierC000010.041004409:26
26P. LindholmC000000.00110008:41
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40G. Sparks(L)29263.8972.82-0.1857:30

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).