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Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Voracek's goal at 3:20 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were VAN 42, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Carter Hart stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (41 saves, .976), 2. Jakub Voracek (1 G), 3. Sean Couturier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart41 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. Voracek1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN010114018142
PHIPHI11411204230

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    18:37

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:20
  2. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    5:14

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:10PHINolan Patrick · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min
  • 14:01VANTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 17:04VANBo Horvat · Trippingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min

2nd

  • 18:17PHIWayne Simmonds · Roughingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min

3rd

  • 3:05VANBrock Boeser · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 13:36PHISean Couturier · Hookingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalVAN goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Jakub Voracek, 2nd 3:20 — PHI 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Voracek · Goal · xG 0.20J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.16O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.14N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.12I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.10S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.10M. Vorobyev · On goal · xG 0.09N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.08C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.08J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04M. Vorobyev · On goal · xG 0.03W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02A. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01A. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01A. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01P. Varone · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 1.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsPHI
2.71 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN68%32%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 1.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsPHI
42
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
30
6
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27B. HuttonD000020.04000—25:02
6B. BoeserR101070.52002—23:47
53B. HorvatC000040.331026322:22
8C. TanevD000-120.02130—20:41
23A. EdlerD000040.07200—19:34
51T. StecherD000010.03122—19:07
20B. SutterC000+140.442006717:20
40E. PetterssonC000010.021004016:52
77N. GoldobinR000+130.16000—16:36
17J. LeivoL000010.02000—16:14
44E. GudbransonD000+110.01210—14:41
5D. PouliotD000000.00110—14:26
18J. VirtanenR000050.80210—14:12
21L. ErikssonL000-110.07000—13:21
64T. MotteC000030.066103313:19
26A. RousselL000020.06110—12:11
83J. BeagleC000-110.060001411:26
59T. SchallerL000000.00000—05:18
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)30282.9331.74-0.2657:58

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).