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Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 18:46 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were WPG 32, PHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Carter Hart stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (31 saves, .969), 2. Travis Konecny (1 G, 1 A), 3. James van Riemsdyk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG01111209132
PHIPHI08212111331

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.27win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    9:47
  2. WPG
    J. Trouba (20), B. Little (19)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    12:59
  3. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:46

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    16:25

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:09WPGJack Roslovic · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 18:56PHISean Couturier · High stickingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min

2nd

  • 11:03PHINolan Patrick · Slashingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 14:08PHIOskar Lindblom · Holding the stickdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 19:55WPGJacob Trouba · High stickingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWPG goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Konecny, 2nd 18:46 — PHI 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.55N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.43P. Varone · Goal · xG 0.27J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.18J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.17J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.14S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.13J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.13O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.10S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.10N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.08P. Varone · Missed · xG 0.08S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.07S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.05W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.05J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.05A. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.03W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.03M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.03M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.01N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.01A. MacDonald · Missed · xG 0.01P. Varone · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 3.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsPHI
1.71 G
All situations
3 G3.5
0.80 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG27%73%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsPHI
32
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
21
16
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-120.06020—25:53
55M. ScheifeleC000030.292104023:43
81K. ConnorL000020.2200010022:13
26B. WheelerR000040.05210—22:09
8J. TroubaD011-130.04222—21:50
57T. MyersD000-120.02100—20:16
29P. LaineL000-360.30000—19:47
5D. KulikovD000-200.00210—18:10
18B. LittleC011-300.063003316:21
17A. LowryC000000.044005515:07
13B. TanevL000010.09620—14:53
28J. RoslovicC101-210.07102014:28
83S. NikuD000020.06010—13:25
70J. MorrowD000-100.03000—13:10
85M. PerreaultC000-120.06100012:35
9A. CoppC000010.072005609:29
48B. LemieuxL000010.06120—07:21
82M. AppletonC000020.14110007:18
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(L)31283.9032.95-0.0557:52

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).