Utah Mammoth at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Reilly's goal at 4:48 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — ARI 1.2, MTL 1.5; shots on goal were ARI 31, MTL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.5 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 30 of 31 (.968). Three stars: 1. Joel Armia, 2. Tomas Tatar (1 A), 3. Carey Price (30 saves, .968).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-19:29
2nd period
1-118:28
3rd period
1-24:48
Penalties
1st
- 8:39
Mario Kempe · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Peca2 min
2nd
- 9:11
Charles Hudon · Holding the stickdrawn by Mario Kempe2 min
- 12:00
Mario Kempe · Holding the stickdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
- 16:40
Mike Reilly · Hookingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
3rd
- 14:19
Joel Armia · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Connauton2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mike Reilly, 3rd 4:48 — 52% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.21 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.5
- 0.80 G
- Even strength
- 1 G0.9
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.23 – 1.46
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 24
- Hits
- 33
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 11
- Giveaways
- 18
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-0
2@
1Final
1@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






