St. Louis Blues at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Capitals scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 8:00 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were STL 37, WSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Pheonix Copley stopped 33 of 37 (.892). Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (28 saves, .966), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vince Dunn (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Allen28 saves, .966

- ★★V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A

- ★★★V. Dunn1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-17:50
2nd period
1-13:18
2-15:11
3-18:00
3rd period
4-110:24
Penalties
1st
- 6:14
Vince Dunn · Boardingdrawn by Brett Connolly2 min
2nd
- 5:22
Ryan O'Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Michal Kempny2 min
- 15:00
Tom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
- 15:00
Patrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
3rd
- 2:01
Matt Niskanen · Hookingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
- 3:07
Vladimir Tarasenko · Holdingdrawn by Devante Smith-Pelly2 min
- 9:26
Alex Ovechkin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: David Perron, 2nd 8:00 — 64% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.94 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.0
- 2.73 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.2
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.67 – 2.92
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 22
- Hits
- 26
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 10
- Giveaways
- 12
- 9
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
STL leads 2-0
2@
5Final
4@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






