Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Los Angeles Kings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Penguins scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Iafallo's goal at 8:47 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.1 to 3.2; shots on goal were PIT 40, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Carter (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jake Muzzin (2 A), 3. Jake Guentzel (2 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Carter1 G, 2 A

- ★★J. Muzzin2 A

- ★★★J. Guentzel2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-05:30
1-110:58
2nd period
1-28:47
1-316:05
3rd period
1-40:49
2-49:20
2-519:13
Penalties
1st
- 4:17
Evgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Leipsic2 min
- 16:26
Derek Grant · High stickingdrawn by Oscar Fantenberg2 min
2nd
- 11:13
Marcus Pettersson · Fightingdrawn by Matt Luff5 min
- 11:13
Matt Luff · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson5 min
- 14:41
Drew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
3rd
- 0:49
served by T. Pearson · Delaying game bench2 min
- 4:33
Brendan Leipsic · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
- 8:58
Anze Kopitar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:45
Brendan Leipsic · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex Iafallo, 2nd 8:47 — 53% → 71%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.12 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.2
- 2.90 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.1
- 1.11 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.00 – 2.42
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 40
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 20
- Hits
- 17
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 6
- Giveaways
- 14
- 4
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
3@
4OTFinal
2@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






