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Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Penguins scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Iafallo's goal at 8:47 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.1 to 3.2; shots on goal were PIT 40, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Carter (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jake Muzzin (2 A), 3. Jake Guentzel (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Carter1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Muzzin2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT19010121240
LAKLAK1721325525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    5:30
  2. LAK
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:58

2nd period

  1. LAK
    J. Carter (12), J. Muzzin (15)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    8:47
  2. LAK
    A. Kopitar(12)SHG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    16:05

3rd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    0:49
  2. PIT
    P. Kessel (33), E. Malkin (36)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    9:20
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.75
    2-5
    19:13

Penalties

PIT 11 PIM·LAK 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:17PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Leipsic2 min
  • 16:26PITDerek Grant · High stickingdrawn by Oscar Fantenberg2 min

2nd

  • 11:13PITMarcus Pettersson · Fightingdrawn by Matt Luff5 min
  • 11:13LAKMatt Luff · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson5 min
  • 14:41LAKDrew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

3rd

  • 0:49PITserved by T. Pearson · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 4:33LAKBrendan Leipsic · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 8:58LAKAnze Kopitar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:45LAKBrendan Leipsic · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalPIT goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Iafallo, 2nd 8:47 — LAK 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.75A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.19A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.15M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.15A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.14K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.14D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.10B. Leipsic · Goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.07A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.07I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06I. Kovalchuk · Missed · xG 0.05B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01
LAK5 G · 3.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsLAK
4.12 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.11 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT74%26%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.00 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsLAK
40
Shots on goal
25
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
20
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-370.24010—27:51
87S. CrosbyC011-140.553105723:46
59J. GuentzelC202-260.87300022:46
71E. MalkinC011-340.470022920:41
8B. DumoulinD000-120.11010—19:33
17B. RustR000-230.5310010018:38
3O. MaattaD000+100.03240—18:02
73J. JohnsonD011-100.03100—17:50
81P. KesselR011-310.07000—17:14
28M. PetterssonD000-230.07105—16:26
12D. SimonC000010.31100015:55
14T. PearsonL000020.30210—15:51
6J. OleksiakD000010.02210—14:23
19D. BrassardC000-120.172004412:16
15R. SheahanC000-130.300103311:55
7M. CullenC000-110.030001409:33
10G. WilsonL000-100.00200—07:09
38D. GrantC000-100.00002005:37
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)24204.8332.45-1.5558:34

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).