Blues at Flyers 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

St. Louis Blues

▸3

Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NHLN-US, FS-MW·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 0:41 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 62%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.9 to 1.1; shots on goal were STL 37, PHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 34 of 36 (.944). Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (1 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (25 saves, 1.000), 3. Jaden Schwartz (1 A).

Three stars

★
B. Schenn1 G
★★
J. Binnington25 saves, 1.000
★★★
J. Schwartz1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
STL	013	114	210	337
PHI	011	06	08	025

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

B. Schenn(9)
J. Schwartz (14), C. Gunnarsson (1)
wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
1-0
0:41

3rd period

V. Tarasenko(12)
R. O'Reilly (23), A. Pietrangelo (9)
wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
2-0
11:00
D. Perron(14)EN
Z. Sanford (6), R. O'Reilly (24)
wristxG 0.51
3-0
18:12

Penalties

2 PIM·

4 PIM

2nd

8:17Nolan Patrick · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

3rd

9:17Carl Gunnarsson · Trippingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
9:46Sean Couturier · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: PHI

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 2nd 0:41 — STL 47% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.1 xG · 34 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.9 xG · 45 att PHI

0 G · 1.1 xG · 34 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.92 G
All situations: 0 G1.1; 2.22 G
Even strength: 0 G1.1; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

74%26%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 1.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

37
Shots on goal: 25; 39%
Faceoffs: 61%; 0/2
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 4; 21
Hits: 29; 15
Blocked shots: 11; 6
Giveaways: 15; 6
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

St. Louis Blues skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
55C. ParaykoD	0	0	0	+1	4	0.08	5	1	0	—	25:16
17J. SchwartzL	0	1	1	+1	5	0.36	0	1	0	—	22:06
57D. PerronL	1	0	1	+1	2	0.60	1	0	0	—	21:21
10B. SchennC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.28	2	2	0	47	21:06
90R. O'ReillyC	0	2	2	+2	1	0.01	0	0	0	30	20:55
91V. TarasenkoR	1	0	1	+2	3	0.22	0	1	0	—	20:30
27A. PietrangeloD	0	1	1	+2	4	0.18	1	3	0	—	19:38
19J. BouwmeesterD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	—	16:54
70O. SundqvistC	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	4	0	0	33	16:10
41R. BortuzzoD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	4	2	0	—	15:52
6J. EdmundsonD	0	0	0	0	4	0.12	1	1	0	—	15:37
4C. GunnarssonD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	—	15:26
12Z. SanfordL	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	0	2	0	—	15:07
7P. MaroonL	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	3	0	0	—	14:55
18R. ThomasC	0	0	0	0	1	0.37	0	0	0	43	12:10
49I. BarbashevL	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	0	60	11:47
29V. DunnD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	—	10:32
20A. SteenL	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	—	02:38

St. Louis Blues goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
50J. Binnington(W)	25	25	0	1.000	1.15	+1.15	60:00

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Jan 73@0this game
Apr 43@7Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

St. Louis Blues at Philadelphia Flyers

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score