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Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the St. Louis Blues 6-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Juuso Riikola's goal at 5:13 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 65% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were PIT 30, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 11 of 13 (.846), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 2. Kris Letang (3 A), 3. Phil Kessel (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    K. Letang3 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    P. Kessel3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11236212630
STLSTL08112011131

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    0:48

2nd period

  1. PIT
    slapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    5:13
  2. PIT
    K. Letang (22), S. Crosby (28)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    7:17
  3. PIT
    K. Letang (23), P. Kessel (26)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    9:25
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    14:36

3rd period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    3:05
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(12)PPG
    P. Kessel (27), K. Letang (24)
    snapxG 0.14
    6-1
    3:38

Penalties

PIT 9 PIM·STL 13 PIM

1st

  • 0:09STLAlexander Steen · High stickingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 13:11PITMarcus Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

2nd

  • 3:24STLAlexander Steen · Interferencedrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
  • 9:18STLJay Bouwmeester · Hookingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min

3rd

  • 3:05STLJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 3:05PITZachary Aston-Reese · Fightingdrawn by Joel Edmundson5 min
  • 3:05STLJoel Edmundson · Fightingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese5 min
  • 9:56PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalPIT goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Juuso Riikola, 2nd 5:13 — PIT 65% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.26V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.16P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.11P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.09P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.08R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.01J. Nolan · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 2.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsSTL
2.16 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.52 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.44 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT42%58%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsSTL
30
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
4/4
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
12
Hits
25
23
Blocked shots
5
7
Giveaways
9
14
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD033+120.08020—23:20
8B. DumoulinD011+110.00110—21:04
73J. JohnsonD000000.00240—20:25
71E. MalkinC101020.260022719:17
3O. MaattaD000010.04020—18:33
87S. CrosbyC123+230.230006218:13
28M. PetterssonD000020.04022—18:13
81P. KesselR033010.07000—17:36
72P. HornqvistR112050.42000—16:43
59J. GuentzelC101+120.10110016:28
19D. BrassardC011-120.151005016:25
50J. RiikolaD101010.06160—15:48
46Z. Aston-ReeseL101+220.24515—15:02
14T. PearsonL011010.01110—14:55
12D. SimonC000030.16010014:35
15R. SheahanC000000.000005012:00
7M. CullenC000-120.140105811:50
17B. RustR000000.06010—05:33
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)31301.9682.55+1.5560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).