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Golden Knights at Kings
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 12:26 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were VGK 32, LAK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nate Schmidt (2 A), 3. William Karlsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    A. Tuch1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    N. Schmidt2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK11211228432
LAKLAK1807016131

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:55
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:55

2nd period

  1. VGK
    slapxG 0.26win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:26

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    3:20
  2. VGK
    A. Tuch (16), N. Schmidt (10)
    wristxG 0.87win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:28

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·LAK 2 PIM

2nd

  • 0:54VGKAlex Tuch · Holdingdrawn by Jake Muzzin2 min
  • 8:36VGKJon Merrill · Hookingdrawn by Ilya Kovalchuk2 min

3rd

  • 19:08LAKBrendan Leipsic · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalVGK goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, 2nd 12:26 — VGK 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.19D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.15A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.14I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.10I. Kovalchuk · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.09D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.08K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.07B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.06I. Kovalchuk · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.01P. LaDue · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 2.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsLAK
3.33 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK55%45%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsLAK
32
Shots on goal
31
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3B. McNabbD000+110.02200—23:14
5D. EngellandD000030.12010—21:39
88N. SchmidtD022+210.01230—21:19
22N. HoldenD011+110.04010—18:32
71W. KarlssonC101+160.390005518:07
27S. TheodoreD000030.15000—17:49
15J. MerrillD000+230.10022—17:33
19R. SmithR000+110.13000—17:12
81J. MarchessaultR000+220.2800010016:47
92T. NosekL000020.07100—15:42
21C. EakinC011010.121006914:55
41P. BellemareL000010.040005014:50
89A. TuchR112+240.69002—14:11
40R. CarpenterC000000.0310010013:51
73B. PirriC000+110.11000012:57
26P. StastnyC112+210.871006412:50
75R. ReavesR000000.042205012:23
28W. CarrierL101010.07410—12:09
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(W)31301.9682.15+1.1560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).