Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Boston Bruins 5-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 10:47 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.6 to 3.1; shots on goal were BOS 51, PIT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.9 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 48 of 51 (.941), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (48 saves, .941), 2. Zachary Aston-Reese (2 G, 1 A), 3. Chris Wagner (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★C. DeSmith48 saves, .941

- ★★Z. Aston-Reese2 G, 1 A

- ★★★C. Wagner1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-117:48
2nd period
0-21:56
1-211:53
1-319:01
3rd period
2-37:08
3-38:02
3-410:47
3-519:54
Penalties
1st
- 2:24
Brandon Carlo · Holdingdrawn by Garrett Wilson2 min
2nd
- 9:00
Jake Guentzel · Slashingdrawn by David Backes2 min
- 17:22
Jake Guentzel · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 3rd 10:47 — 52% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.63 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.1
- 3.13 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.7
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.44 – 2.12
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 51
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 35
- Hits
- 52
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 3
- Giveaways
- 6
- 6
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 2-1
1@
2OTFinal
3@
5this game
2@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






