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Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Montréal Canadiens 7-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 14:01 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were MTL 30, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Antti Niemi stopped 16 of 23 (.696), 5.1 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Parise (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mathew Dumba (2 G), 3. Devan Dubnyk (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Z. Parise1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Dumba2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL06014110130
MINMIN1948215732

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:01

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Dumba(11)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:11
  2. MIN
    C. Coyle(5)SHG
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    12:33
  3. MIN
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    14:58
  4. MIN
    J. Zucker (10), C. Coyle (10)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    19:57

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Dumba(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.07
    0-6
    0:44
  2. MTL
    M. Chaput (3), A. Shaw (10)
    slapxG 0.03
    1-6
    2:41
  3. MIN
    Z. Parise(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.17
    1-7
    6:10

Penalties

MTL 33 PIM·MIN 17 PIM

2nd

  • 10:00MTLShea Weber · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 12:20MINEric Fehr · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 15:12MTLNicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min
  • 15:12MINNick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 18:22MTLAndrew Shaw · Slashingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

3rd

  • 0:22MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 5:44MTLMichael Chaput · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 15:38MTLMax Domi · Misconductdrawn by JT Brown10 min
  • 15:38MINJT Brown · Misconductdrawn by Max Domi10 min
  • 15:38MTLAndrew Shaw · Misconductdrawn by Marcus Foligno10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalMTL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, 1st 14:01 — MIN 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.19Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.17N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.17J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.13E. Fehr · On goal · xG 0.11M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.10L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.09E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.09C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.07M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.06L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.06E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.03C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.03E. Fehr · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.01E. Fehr · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN7 G · 2.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsMIN
1.61 G
All situations
7 G2.3
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.10 G
Power play
4 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL35%65%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
32
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
4/4
33
Penalty minutes
17
19
Hits
17
8
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD000-140.10202—24:04
17B. KulakD000050.16200—23:12
26J. PetryD101-120.13100—21:24
24P. DanaultC000-210.001005319:24
21D. SchlemkoD000-110.00010—18:35
90T. TatarL000030.2500010017:05
92J. DrouinL000-130.06000—16:17
58N. JuulsenD000020.03100—16:06
13M. DomiC000-130.2210101715:39
8J. BennD000000.00120—15:39
65A. ShawR011000.1131121715:07
47K. AgostinoL000+100.0720010014:48
11B. GallagherR000-230.12102—14:43
62A. LehkonenL000-110.02110—14:20
43M. ChaputC011+110.151122513:07
15J. KotkaniemiC000-100.000206912:27
41P. ByronL000-210.12100—12:18
20N. DeslauriersL000+100.00105—12:11
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Niemi(L)23167.6961.92-5.0846:10
31C. Price9901.0000.40+0.4013:50

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).