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Blues at Red Wings
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bertuzzi's goal at 13:07 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 36, DET 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.8 goals below expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Tyler Bertuzzi (2 G), 2. David Perron (2 G), 3. Thomas Vanek (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    T. Bertuzzi2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    D. Perron2 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    T. Vanek1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL04217115336
DETDET01531016431

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    T. Vanek(3)
    G. Nyquist (15), J. de la Rose (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    4:22
  2. DET
    A. Athanasiou(11)
    M. Green (10), T. Vanek (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    7:17
  3. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(7)
    L. Glendening (6), M. Green (11)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    11:04
  4. STL
    D. Perron(7)PPG
    A. Pietrangelo (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    13:37
  5. STL
    V. Tarasenko(8)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (15), V. Dunn (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    15:16

3rd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(8)
    R. Fabbri (2), B. Schenn (9)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    8:04
  2. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(8)
    M. Rasmussen (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +35 pts
    3-4
    13:07

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:18STLJay Bouwmeester · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

2nd

  • 11:40DETTyler Bertuzzi · High stickingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 13:47DETMike Green · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min

3rd

  • 15:28STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:59DETThomas Vanek · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalSTL goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi, 3rd 13:07 — DET 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.33J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.15L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.11G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.10A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.10T. Vanek · Goal · xG 0.10A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.09J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.07N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.06N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.05J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.04M. Green · On goal · xG 0.04J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.04N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Green · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Green · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Green · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ericsson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.01J. Ericsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01
DET4 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDET
3.53 G
All situations
4 G2.2
2.31 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL71%29%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.39 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDET
36
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD011-120.14410—27:34
55C. ParaykoD000020.03010—22:41
6J. EdmundsonD000030.13230—22:05
90R. O'ReillyC011030.260006021:23
10B. SchennC011020.161002420:13
29V. DunnD011-210.10000—19:16
91V. TarasenkoR101020.23100—18:42
15R. FabbriC011-140.34000017:27
20A. SteenL000-170.74110—16:54
57D. PerronL202+160.63210—16:31
21T. BozakC000-120.374004614:54
19J. BouwmeesterD000-100.00012—14:51
18R. ThomasC000-310.03000013:45
7P. MaroonL000-100.00200—11:49
49I. BarbashevL000-200.041003310:43
70O. SundqvistC000-100.081004010:05
12Z. SanfordL000010.16100—10:04
43J. SchmaltzD000-200.00030—08:53
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)31274.8712.18-1.8258:10

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).