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Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-W, CBC·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 10:23 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were VAN 29, LAK 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Cal Petersen stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Drew Doughty (1 G), 3. Jake Virtanen (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Virtanen1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0921426429
LAKLAK082608222

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    5:12
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:23
  3. VAN
    S. Gagner(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    12:18
  4. LAK
    wristxG 0.15win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    16:35

3rd period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +33 pts
    3-2
    10:23
  2. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.41win prob +10 pts
    4-2
    18:41

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:56VANserved by S. Gagner · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 7:07VANSam Gagner · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Clifford2 min
  • 11:41LAKKyle Clifford · Slashingdrawn by Alex Biega2 min

3rd

  • 5:52LAKJake Muzzin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:22VANAlexander Edler · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 17:08VANAlexander Edler · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalVAN goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 3rd 10:23 — VAN 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.15M. Luff · Goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.13J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.12I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.10N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.10A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.09C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.08D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.07A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.07M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.06I. Kovalchuk · Missed · xG 0.06D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.05A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.05D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.04D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.03D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsLAK
2.63 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN47%53%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsLAK
29
Shots on goal
22
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
8
11
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27B. HuttonD000-130.05020—23:56
44E. GudbransonD000010.02220—22:19
60M. GranlundC000-120.130002921:56
8C. TanevD000+120.03030—20:53
18J. VirtanenR011+110.16010—20:17
4M. Del ZottoD000+230.23430—20:11
26A. RousselL000020.28220—17:56
53B. HorvatC011040.330003816:55
23A. EdlerD000+110.09004—16:19
89S. GagnerC101020.1800210016:18
77N. GoldobinR011+120.03010—15:55
21L. ErikssonL000+100.24000—15:51
55A. BiegaD000+120.05300—15:41
40E. PetterssonC112+110.110203814:08
64T. MotteC101+110.41300012:53
88A. GaudetteR101+110.230007509:15
9B. LeipsicL000010.04100—07:33
24R. BoucherC000000.00100005:28
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)22202.9092.33+0.3360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).