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Golden Knights at Coyotes
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth

Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, FS-A PLUS·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, Max Pacioretty scoring at 3:36. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 3:36 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VGK 1.5, ARI 1.8; shots on goal were VGK 25, ARI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Darcy Kuemper stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Max Pacioretty (2 G), 2. Derek Stepan (2 G), 3. Tomas Nosek (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    D. Stepan2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    T. Nosek1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK011260315325
ARIARI112031600221

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:08

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:50
  2. VGK
    C. Eakin (4), A. Tuch (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    15:51

3rd period

  1. ARI
    D. Stepan(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    13:11

Overtime

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.20win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    3:36

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:28VGKWilliam Carrier · Boardingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min

2nd

  • 2:33ARIAlex Goligoski · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 9:38ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Hookingdrawn by William Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 12:33VGKColin Miller · Hookingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 18:05VGKBrayden McNabb · Trippingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalVGK goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, OT 3:36 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.33N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.16V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.16C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.12D. Stepan · Goal · xG 0.12C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.11D. Stepan · Goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.09M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.09O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.08O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.00I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 1.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsARI
1.53 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK44%56%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsARI
25
Shots on goal
21
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
39
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
20
9
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000000.00220—23:48
6C. MillerD000010.05202—22:08
21C. EakinC011020.172004421:30
71W. KarlssonC000030.243105321:28
19R. SmithR011+120.09100—20:56
22N. HoldenD000000.00220—19:56
5D. EngellandD000+120.07110—19:40
27S. TheodoreD011+230.09100—19:09
81J. MarchessaultR000+120.141003318:36
67M. PaciorettyL202+120.29400—18:31
89A. TuchR011020.11200—18:31
3B. McNabbD011000.00322—18:26
41P. BellemareL000000.071106714:00
75R. ReavesR000000.00610—13:47
28W. CarrierL000030.14702—11:40
40R. CarpenterC000+100.001104008:53
92T. NosekL101+130.0800010008:38
38T. HykaR000000.00000—08:12
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)21192.9051.78-0.2263:30

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).