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Maple Leafs at Ducks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸2
Anaheim Ducks
1
Final/OTTV PRIME, TSN4·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1 in overtime, Morgan Rielly scoring at 3:17. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Rielly's goal at 3:17 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were TOR 35, ANA 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Garret Sparks stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.6 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Morgan Rielly (1 G), 2. Ryan Getzlaf, 3. Rickard Rakell.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Rakell

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR1901201014235
ANAANA01211001502139

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    P. Marleau(4)
    J. Gardiner (9), N. Kadri (7)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:42

2nd period

  1. ANA
    P. Aberg(6)
    N. Ritchie (2), A. Henrique (5)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    18:35

Overtime

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(9)
    M. Marner (20)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    3:17

Penalties

TOR 2 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:41ANAAndy Welinski · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 12:28ANAJosh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

3rd

  • 13:53TORKasperi Kapanen · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalTOR goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Morgan Rielly, OT 3:17 — TOR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.16R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.14O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.10B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.10K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kossila · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.07O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04P. Aberg · Goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kossila · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03A. Welinski · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kossila · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsANA
3.52 G
All situations
1 G2.6
3.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR65%35%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.49 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsANA
35
Shots on goal
39
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
16
18
Blocked shots
19
12
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD101040.39110—23:16
51J. GardinerD011+130.40030—23:00
22N. ZaitsevD000+110.07270—21:31
2R. HainseyD000-110.03110—20:32
91J. TavaresC000+120.160004720:01
16M. MarnerR011+120.54000—19:31
11Z. HymanL000030.24200—18:45
24K. KapanenR000+120.40002—17:58
12P. MarleauC101+120.2600010017:51
23T. DermottD000010.07130—17:15
43N. KadriC011+130.310007717:14
18A. JohnssonL000-110.12200—16:00
26P. LindholmC000-120.021202915:00
28C. BrownR000-110.170105014:06
92I. OzhiganovD000010.01000—13:37
32J. LeivoL000030.17000—12:03
63T. EnnisR000020.12000—10:58
33F. GauthierC000010.031005709:13
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40G. Sparks(W)39381.9742.62+1.6263:17

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).