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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
Montréal Canadiens
1
FinalTV SUN, SN360·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 0:52 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 71% to 89%. Expected goals were close — TBL 2.8, MTL 2.9; shots on goal were TBL 36, MTL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (34 saves, .971), 2. Steven Stamkos (2 G), 3. Anton Stralman (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Stralman3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL21807211436
MTLMTL11201706135

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    M. Domi(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:58
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(3)
    N. Kucherov (8)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    13:42
  3. TBL
    J. Miller(4)
    A. Stralman (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    16:24

3rd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(4)
    N. Kucherov (9), A. Stralman (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    0:52
  2. TBL
    Y. Gourde(5)
    B. Point (8), A. Stralman (5)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    15:57

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:58TBLYanni Gourde · Interferencedrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 11:42MTLNicolas Deslauriers · Boardingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min

2nd

  • 7:45TBLMathieu Joseph · Holding the stickdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 17:45TBLBraydon Coburn · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min

3rd

  • 7:28MTLTomas Tatar · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 13:00MTLJonathan Drouin · Trippingdrawn by Slater Koekkoek2 min
  • 16:40TBLBraydon Coburn · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 3rd 0:52 — TBL 71% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.28C. Hudon · Missed · xG 0.18J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.15M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.13M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.12B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.12J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.12N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.10X. Ouellet · Missed · xG 0.10A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.10N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.08M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.06J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.05J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.05N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.03A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL1 G · 2.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
2.84 G
All situations
1 G2.9
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL46%54%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
36
Shots on goal
35
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
25
23
Blocked shots
17
15
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. StralmanD033+200.00130—25:51
27R. McDonaghD000+120.04140—25:45
37Y. GourdeC101+140.680025018:42
9T. JohnsonC000000.03020017:49
17A. KillornL000+100.08100—17:33
21B. PointC011+150.450003116:47
55B. CoburnD000+120.04114—16:13
10J. MillerC101+330.371005015:56
5D. GirardiD000+120.13420—15:54
98M. SergachevD000-120.04320—15:40
86N. KucherovR022+320.21000—15:26
91S. StamkosC202+220.172206214:46
29S. KoekkoekD000+120.06150—14:34
71A. CirelliC000000.093206014:22
7M. JosephR000030.17202—12:42
13C. PaquetteC000020.015004411:37
73A. ErneL000010.05300—11:23
24R. CallahanR000-140.164005011:00
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)35341.9712.92+1.9260:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).