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Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
3
St. Louis Blues
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oskar Sundqvist's goal at 6:29 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — VGK 3.0, STL 3.1; shots on goal were VGK 34, STL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.5 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Oskar Sundqvist (2 G), 2. Tyler Bozak (1 G, 1 A), 3. Robby Fabbri (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    T. Bozak1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Fabbri1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK19110115334
STLSTL193918526

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    O. Sundqvist(1)
    R. Thomas (2), R. Fabbri (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:02
  2. VGK
    P. Bellemare(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.29win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:29

2nd period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(6)PPG
    T. Bozak (3), P. Maroon (7)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    3:11
  2. VGK
    E. Haula(2)
    S. Theodore (3), A. Tuch (2)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:34
  3. STL
    O. Sundqvist(2)
    R. Thomas (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    6:29
  4. STL
    C. Parayko(3)
    R. O'Reilly (12), Z. Sanford (4)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    14:49

3rd period

  1. VGK
    A. Tuch(3)PPG
    J. Marchessault (7), W. Karlsson (7)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    3-4
    8:02
  2. STL
    T. Bozak(3)
    J. Edmundson (3)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    3-5
    11:47

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 20:00VGKRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 20:00STLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min

2nd

  • 3:03VGKBrad Hunt · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 11:31STLVince Dunn · Interferencedrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 17:53STLZachary Sanford · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

3rd

  • 3:30VGKTomas Nosek · High stickingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 7:44STLBrayden Schenn · Boardingdrawn by Tomas Hyka2 min
  • 14:10VGKCody Eakin · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Oskar Sundqvist, 2nd 6:29 — STL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.59J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.21V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.21T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.21O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.17R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.14A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.13C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.13V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.07A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 3.1 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
3.03 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.72 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK58%42%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
26
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
24
6
Giveaways
5
9
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6C. MillerD000-210.08020—23:32
3B. McNabbD000-300.01430—20:39
27S. TheodoreD011+100.00010—19:31
81J. MarchessaultR011-270.481105019:11
71W. KarlssonC011-230.200004019:08
19R. SmithR000-100.17000—18:37
89A. TuchR112060.69000—18:16
5D. EngellandD000+100.00100—17:48
56E. HaulaL101+130.310106717:41
22N. HoldenD000-120.15000—17:27
77B. HuntD000030.12012—16:44
38T. HykaR000+100.04010—14:14
41P. BellemareL101040.400003613:56
75R. ReavesR000000.082125012:49
21C. EakinC000-120.130121312:15
92T. NosekL000-120.07402—12:13
40R. CarpenterC000-110.022005011:50
28W. CarrierL000000.00700—11:02
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)26215.8082.51-2.4956:59

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).