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Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV NBCSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 6:18 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were ARI 32, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Devan Dubnyk stopped 31 of 32 (.969). Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (1 G), 2. Devan Dubnyk (31 saves, .969), 3. Mikael Granlund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    E. Staal1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Granlund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11201208132
MINMIN08110110228

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    13:12

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:40

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.16win prob +28 pts
    1-2
    6:18

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:41ARIBrad Richardson · Interferencedrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 11:42MINGreg Pateryn · Hookingdrawn by Michael Grabner2 min
  • 19:04MINJT Brown · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Perlini2 min

2nd

  • 5:11MINEric Fehr · High stickingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 11:41ARIRichard Panik · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min
  • 11:41MINRyan Suter · Slashingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min

3rd

  • 19:17ARIDylan Strome · Cross checkingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 3rd 6:18 — MIN 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.25J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.18E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.16E. Fehr · Missed · xG 0.15J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.13E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.07E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.06E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.04M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hendricks · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
1.51 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI38%62%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
32
Shots on goal
28
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
15
10
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000010.11300—22:10
55J. DemersD000010.13110—20:25
33A. GoligoskiD000-230.10010—20:18
9C. KellerR000-110.01000—19:12
36C. FischerR000-120.15000—18:14
82J. OesterleD011030.15310—18:13
20D. StromeC000-110.070027418:10
4N. HjalmarssonD000-220.01020—17:47
21D. StepanC000-130.111103517:23
44K. ConnautonD000030.07110—17:16
11B. PerliniL101-150.18100—16:00
40M. GrabnerL000010.11100—15:04
15B. RichardsonR000010.010127115:01
14R. PanikR000-100.00002—14:35
13V. HinostrozaC011010.050107514:29
25N. CousinsC000010.070106011:13
67L. CrouseL000030.07000—10:39
45J. ArchibaldR000000.0410010010:38
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)28262.9291.98-0.0258:30

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).