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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV FS-MW, NBCSCH·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the St. Louis Blues 5-4 in overtime, Jonathan Toews scoring at 2:20. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Toews's goal at 2:20 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were CHI 30, STL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Cam Ward stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.6 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Toews (3 G), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    J. Toews3 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI182111912530
STLSTL290821300430

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    14:42
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    17:22
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:30

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    1:33
  2. CHI
    slapxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    10:25

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    3-3
    3:58
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +26 pts
    3-4
    4:20
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    6:59

Overtime

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    2:20

Penalties

CHI 12 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:39STLAlex Pietrangelo · Trippingdrawn by Artem Anisimov2 min
  • 10:34CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Chris Butler2 min
  • 11:47STLRyan O'Reilly · High stickingdrawn by Luke Johnson2 min
  • 13:07CHIJonathan Toews · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min

2nd

  • 4:33CHILuke Johnson · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 5:41STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:55CHIAndreas Martinsen · Trippingdrawn by Chris Butler2 min

3rd

  • 3:19CHIBrent Seabrook · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 8:37STLRyan O'Reilly · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 12:47CHIMarcus Kruger · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Toews, OT 2:20 — CHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.15S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.10C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.10C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.09P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.09P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.04J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Butler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02C. Butler · Goal · xG 0.02C. Butler · On goal · xG 0.01P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Butler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 2.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
2.75 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.55 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI55%45%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
30
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/4
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000+130.15130—25:08
56E. GustafssonD011+200.00010—21:40
88P. KaneR112+270.83012—21:28
19J. ToewsC303+230.431025021:12
44J. RuttaD000+200.00030—21:06
20B. SaadL011+220.111102020:21
28H. JokiharjuD022+220.16200—19:30
8N. SchmaltzC022+220.110102518:45
7B. SeabrookD000-100.00312—18:45
12A. DeBrincatR022+140.26000—17:13
15A. AnisimovC000-110.270105715:27
64D. KampfC000-110.00000014:04
23B. ManningD000-100.00200—13:03
14C. KunitzL000-110.04400—11:24
24D. KahunC000+100.00000011:21
16M. KrugerC101+130.270122910:14
62L. JohnsonC000010.060027509:10
29A. MartinsenL000000.00102—07:06
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Ward(W)30264.8672.41-1.5962:09

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).