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Penguins at Capitals
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
Washington Capitals
▸6
FinalTV NBC, SN·Verizon Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Vrana's goal at 15:22 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals were close — PIT 3.4, WSH 3.6; shots on goal were PIT 39, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.9 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. Jakub Vrana (1 G, 2 A), 2. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Braden Holtby (36 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Vrana1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    B. Holtby36 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11321808339
WSHWSH21305414632

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Oleksiak(1)
    D. Brassard (3), J. Schultz (6)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:23
  2. WSH
    J. Carlson(3)PPG
    E. Kuznetsov (6), T. Oshie (3)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    18:22
  3. WSH
    B. Connolly(2)
    J. Vrana (2), L. Eller (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:55

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(9)PPG
    P. Kessel (7), J. Schultz (7)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    4:43
  2. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(5)PPG
    E. Malkin (4), P. Kessel (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    7:45

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(6)
    J. Vrana (3), M. Niskanen (3)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    0:52
  2. WSH
    J. Vrana(2)
    A. Ovechkin (6), E. Kuznetsov (7)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +38 pts
    3-4
    15:22
  3. WSH
    T. Oshie(5)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.62win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:29
  4. WSH
    L. Eller(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.90
    3-6
    19:54

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:15WSHMatt Niskanen · Holdingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min
  • 10:04PITChad Ruhwedel · Hookingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 17:11PITDominik Simon · Trippingdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min
  • 19:58WSHAlex Ovechkin · Hookingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min

2nd

  • 4:24WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 6:57WSHDevante Smith-Pelly · Trippingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 16:39WSHDevante Smith-Pelly · Trippingdrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min
  • 17:22PITSidney Crosby · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPIT goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Jakub Vrana, 3rd 15:22 — WSH 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.90T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.62J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.23A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.12T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.10S. Gersich · Missed · xG 0.10M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.07L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06B. Connolly · Goal · xG 0.06T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.05N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.05B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gersich · On goal · xG 0.03M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · Missed · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.01B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.00A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH6 G · 3.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWSH
3.43 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
1.62 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT71%29%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWSH
39
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/5
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
28
Hits
26
17
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-220.06010—23:17
4J. SchultzD022-220.06110—21:16
87S. CrosbyC101-230.470024919:43
59J. GuentzelC000-240.34200019:34
8B. DumoulinD000-230.10020—18:28
3O. MaattaD000020.17420—18:25
71E. MalkinC011-440.301006718:10
6J. OleksiakD101020.09330—17:27
72P. HornqvistR101-480.85210—16:58
81P. KesselR022-420.17000—16:51
2C. RuhwedelD000000.01202—15:57
15R. SheahanC000-100.095204214:52
12D. SimonC000000.00122013:29
62C. HagelinL000-120.1733010013:03
17B. RustR000-100.0000010012:53
19D. BrassardC011+110.220005012:27
43C. ShearyL000+120.17000—11:42
34T. KuhnhacklR000+120.15400—11:41
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)30264.8672.11-1.8958:36

Series

WSH leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).